UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Women's Flyweight
VS
60%
Cerminara
40%
Shevchenko
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Cerminara
Cerminara holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Shevchenko has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 13 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Shevchenko has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Striking split: Cerminara throws more volume but Shevchenko connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Cerminara's chin rating of 48 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Shevchenko has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'8"
68"+
Reach
67"
37+
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
41.2
27.8
40.9
Performance Avg
43.2
25
Quality of Victory
39
85
Momentum Score
73
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.3
35%
Strike Accuracy
52%
1.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
11
9
Body
3
4
Leg
3
RangeRange
20Distance15
2Clinch2
13Ground0
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
48
62
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
17/24 fights
Chin rating based on
8/14 fights
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
85
73
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
11
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Cerminara
Shevchenko
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.5
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
1.9
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.0
9.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.0
CerminaraShevchenko
Strike Zones
Cerminara
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedShevchenko
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Cerminara targets the head (63% of attacks) — Shevchenko absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Shevchenko targets the head (65% of attacks) — Cerminara absorbs 65% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Cerminara
RND
Shevchenko
0/0R00/0
Cerminara · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Shevchenko · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Cerminara · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Maycee BarberRating 6.5Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R3
Manon FiorotRating 7.1Decision
UFC 280: Oliveira vs. Makhachev · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Amanda RibasRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Blachowicz vs. Rakic · 2022-05
W · Dec · R3
Jennifer MaiaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Chikadze · 2022-01
W · Dec · R3
Viviane AraujoRating 5.2Decision
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
Shevchenko · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Cortney CaseyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07
L · KO · R2
Casey O'NeillRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Walker · 2021-10
L · Sub · R2
Andrea LeeRating 3.2Submission
UFC 262: Oliveira vs. Chandler · 2021-05
W · KO · R2
Ariane da SilvaRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 255: Figueiredo vs. Perez · 2020-11
L · Dec · R3
Katlyn CerminaraRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05