UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland
Orlando, USA
3 Dec 2022
Welterweight
VS
50%
Thompson
50%
Holland
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 4 · 5:00
Stephen
Stephen Thompson
"Wonderboy"
17 – 9
6'0"75" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
KH
Kevin Holland
"Trailblazer"
29 – 15
Well-Rounded33 yrsOrthodox81" reach6'3"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Thompson

This is a genuine toss-up — Thompson at 50% vs Holland at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Thompson throws more volume but Holland connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Holland has a chin rating of 6 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Thompson
Holland
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"
Height
+6'3"
75"
Reach
+81"
43
Age
+33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thompson
Holland
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
47.0
48.9
Performance Avg
49.3
43
Quality of Victory
44
45
Momentum Score
51
Thompson
Holland
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
1.2
47%
Strike Accuracy
52%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
5
18
Body
4
7
Leg
3
RangeRange
42Distance9
6Clinch3
0Ground0
Thompson
Holland
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.2
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.8
0
Submission wins
6
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thompson
Holland
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
6
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
29/44 fights
Thompson
Holland
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
51
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
Thompson
Holland
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
69%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
6
6
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Thompson
Holland
Striking6.1 / 4.3Volume5.1 / 3.6Grappling1.2 / 3.8Wrestling0.8 / 2.6Submission0.0 / 3.8Pressure5.2 / 6.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.8
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.6
Thompson
Strike Zones
Holland
Thompson
Attacking
23HEAD18BODY7LEGS48 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD4BODY3LEGS12 absorbed
Holland
Attacking
5HEAD4BODY3LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD18BODY7LEGS48 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (48% of attacks) — Holland absorbs 48% of strikes there
🎯Holland targets the head (42% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 42% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Thompson
RND
Holland
0/0R00/0

Thompson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.1L6.0W5.5W5.7L6.6L6.0W4.8L5.2L7.2L2012-022015-072019-032023-122025-07
WinLossTrend

Holland · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.4
0105.5L5.5W5.6W4.5W4.1L6.4W6.7W4.5W5.0W5.0W5.8L6.3L5.2W5.3W3.4L3.9L6.0W5.8W7.0L6.3L6.0W2.9L2.5L5.6W6.7W6.4L7.3L5.4W2018-082020-092022-092024-102026-04
WinLossTrend

Thompson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

Holland · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Randy BrownRating 5.4
Decision
UFC 327: Prochazka vs. Ulberg · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Mike MalottRating 7.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Dec · R3
Daniel RodriguezRating 6.4
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Vicente LuqueRating 6.7
Submission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Gunnar NelsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03

News & Media

Stephen Thompson · Kevin Holland
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