METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Welterweight
VS
58%
Maia
42%
Shields
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Jake ShieldswinsDecisionR5 · 5:00
def. Demian Maia · UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Maia
→
Actual result
Shields wins
Decision · R5
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Maia at 58% vs Shields at 42% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Maia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MaiaShields
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Maia
Shields
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
48
Age
+47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Shields
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.6
14.8
50.8
Performance Avg
37.9
40
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
65
Maia
Shields
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.8
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
5.8
Style: Pressure
1.7
5.0
Style: Volume
9.1
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
3
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance8
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Maia
Shields
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.1
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
11
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Maia
Shields
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
8/40 fights
Maia
Shields
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Maia
Shields
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Maia
Shields
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.1
MaiaShields
Strike Zones
Maia
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedShields
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (70% of attacks) — Shields absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Shields targets the head (50% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Maia
RND
Shields
0/0R00/0
Maia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodSubmission
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Shields · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Hector LombardDecision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Dec · R5
Demian MaiaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyDecision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Ed HermanUFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaDecision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02