UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields
Barueri, Brazil
9 Oct 2013
Welterweight
VS
69%
Maia
31%
Shields
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
DM
Demian Maia
28 – 11
6'1"72" reachSouthpaw48 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 32
JS
Jake Shields
31 – 9
Well-Rounded47 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Maia

Maia holds a meaningful edge at 69% per the CFR ratings — but Shields has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 18 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Maia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Striking split: Shields throws more volume but Maia connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Maia's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Maia
Shields
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
6'0"
72"
Reach
72"
48
Age
+47
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Maia
Shields
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
32.4
14.8
50.8
Performance Avg
37.9
40
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
65
Maia
Shields
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
32%
1.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.1
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
4
3
Body
1
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
7Distance8
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Maia
Shields
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Maia
Shields
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
74
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/39 fights
Chin rating based on
8/40 fights
Maia
Shields
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
65
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · Dec · R3
Maia
Shields
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
55%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
11
Submission Wins
0
10
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Maia
Shields
Striking1.8 / 1.1Volume5.0 / 9.1Grappling5.1 / 2.4Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure5.8 / 1.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.1
5.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.7
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.1
Maia
Strike Zones
Shields
Maia
Attacking
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 landed
Absorbing
4HEAD1BODY3LEGS8 absorbed
Shields
Attacking
4HEAD1BODY3LEGS8 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD3BODY0LEGS10 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Maia targets the head (70% of attacks) — Shields absorbs 70% of strikes there
🎯Shields targets the head (50% of attacks) — Maia absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Maia
RND
Shields
0/0R00/0

Maia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.0
0105.0W5.4W5.5W5.0W5.0W1.5L4.5W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L4.5W6.3L5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.9W5.6W5.9W5.0W4.5W5.5L6.8L6.6L5.0W4.5W5.2W1.7L6.6L2007-102010-122014-052018-052021-06
WinLossTrend

Shields · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.4
0104.5W5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L2010-102011-092013-062014-03
WinLossTrend

Maia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 · 2021-06
L · KO · R1
Gilbert BurnsRating 1.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
W · Sub · R3
Ben AskrenRating 5.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs. Askren · 2019-10
W · Dec · R3
Anthony Rocco MartinRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Sub · R1
Lyman GoodRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Assuncao vs. Moraes 2 · 2019-02

Shields · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03
W · Dec · R5
Demian MaiaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
W · Dec · R3
Tyron WoodleyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Ed Herman
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08
W · Dec · R3
Yoshihiro AkiyamaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson · 2012-02

News & Media

Demian Maia · Jake Shields
← Back to fights