Andrei Arlovski vs Francis Ngannou — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena

Denver, USA

28 Jan 2017

Heavyweight

53%

Arlovski

47%

Ngannou

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:32

Andrei Arlovski

"The Pitbull"

34 – 24

6'3"77" reachOrthodox47 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 49

Francis Ngannou

"The Predator"

17 – 3

Knockout Artist6-fight win streak40 yrsOrthodox83" reach6'4"

CFR 43

★ Official Result

Francis NgannouwinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:32

def. Andrei Arlovski · UFC on FOX: Shevchenko vs. Pena

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Arlovski

→

Actual result

Ngannou wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Arlovski at 53% vs Ngannou at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Ngannou has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

ArlovskiNgannou

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Arlovski

Ngannou

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

6'3"

Height

+6'4"

77"

Reach

+83"

Age

+40

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Arlovski

Ngannou

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

49.1

43.0

50.5

Performance Avg

70.4

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

100

Arlovski

Ngannou

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

5.0

/ 10

9.2

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

8.4

5.3

Style: Volume

2.4

9 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

9 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

3Distance4

0Clinch0

0Ground4

Arlovski

Ngannou

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.9

/ 10

0.9

/ 10

1.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

0.6

0.9

Submission Style (/10)

0.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Arlovski

Ngannou

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

2 consec. KOs

Verdict

Never stopped

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.8 stoppage

KO round context

—

2 fights ago

Last KO loss

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

42/58 fights

Chin rating based on

14/20 fights

Arlovski

Ngannou

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

4-fight 📉 slide

Current form

6-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

L · Sub · R1

W · Dec · R3

Last 5

W · Dec · R5

W · KO · R2

W · KO · R1

Arlovski

Ngannou

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

48%

83%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Arlovski

Ngannou

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

5.0

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

9.2

1.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

0.9

1.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

0.6

0.9

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.8

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

8.4

5.3

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

2.4

Arlovski

Strike Zones

Ngannou

Arlovski

Attacking

3 landed

Absorbing

8 absorbed

Ngannou

Attacking

8 landed

Absorbing

3 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Arlovski targets the legs (67% of attacks) — Ngannou absorbs 67% of strikes there

🎯Ngannou targets the head (100% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Arlovski

RND

Ngannou

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Arlovski · Last 5

L · Dec · R3

Martin Buday

Decision

UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06

L · Dec · R3

Waldo Cortes Acosta

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01

L · KO · R2

Don'Tale Mayes

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06

L · Sub · R1

Marcos Rogerio de Lima

Submission

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10

W · Dec · R3

Jake Collier

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04

Ngannou · Last 5

W · Dec · R5

Ciryl Gane

Decision

UFC 270: Ngannou vs. Gane · 2022-01

W · KO · R2

Stipe Miocic

KO/TKO

UFC 260: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2021-03

W · KO · R1

Jairzinho Rozenstruik

KO/TKO

UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05

W · KO · R1

Junior Dos Santos

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06

W · KO · R1

Cain Velasquez

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Velasquez · 2019-02

News & Media

Andrei Arlovski · Francis Ngannou

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