METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
Auckland, New Zealand
28 Jun 2014
Featherweight
VS
12%
Hioki
88%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:32
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Charles OliveirawinsSubmissionR2 · 4:32
def. Hatsu Hioki · UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Risk flags
Hioki's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HiokiOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hioki
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hioki
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.0
63.3
30.0
Performance Avg
58.6
25
Quality of Victory
51
10
Momentum Score
100
Hioki
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
1.1
Style: Pressure
8.0
8.8
Style: Volume
2.7
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
4 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
1
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch5
1Ground6
Hioki
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
5.8
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
6.8
0
Submission wins
17
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hioki
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Hioki
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Hioki
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
84%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
17
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hioki
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
HiokiOliveira
Strike Zones
Hioki
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hioki targets the head (75% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hioki absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hioki
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Hioki · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarDecision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanDecision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04