METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
Auckland, New Zealand
28 Jun 2014
Featherweight
VS
12%
Hioki
88%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:32
CFR 63
★ Official Result
Charles OliveirawinsSubmissionR2 · 4:32
def. Hatsu Hioki · UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Oliveira
→
Actual result
Oliveira wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Oliveira is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.
Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Hioki's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HiokiOliveira
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hioki
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+74"
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hioki
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.0
63.3
30.0
Performance Avg
58.6
25
Quality of Victory
51
10
Momentum Score
100
Hioki
Oliveira
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.1
36%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
1
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch5
1Ground6
Hioki
Oliveira
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hioki
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Hioki
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Hioki
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
84%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
17
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hioki
Oliveira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
HiokiOliveira
Strike Zones
Hioki
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedOliveira
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hioki targets the head (75% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hioki absorbs 57% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hioki
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0
Hioki · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Oliveira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Hioki · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
Oliveira · Last 5
W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04