UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt
Auckland, New Zealand
28 Jun 2014
Featherweight
VS
12%
Hioki
88%
Oliveira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:32
HH
Hatsu Hioki
29 – 10
5'11"73" reachOrthodox42 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 9
Charles
Charles Oliveira
"Do Bronxs"
37 – 11
Pressure Fighter2-fight win streak36 yrsOrthodox74" reach5'10"
CFR 63

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Oliveira

Oliveira is a strong favourite at 88% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 54 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Oliveira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 26 points.

Oliveira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Hioki's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Oliveira has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Hioki
Oliveira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"+
Height
5'10"
73"
Reach
+74"
42
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Hioki
Oliveira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.0
63.3
30.0
Performance Avg
58.6
25
Quality of Victory
51
10
Momentum Score
100
Hioki
Oliveira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.1
36%
Strike Accuracy
53%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
1
Body
4
0
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch5
1Ground6
Hioki
Oliveira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
2.4
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.8
1.7
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
4.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Hioki
Oliveira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
5
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.2 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/39 fights
Chin rating based on
37/48 fights
Hioki
Oliveira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
10
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R5
L · Dec · R3
Hioki
Oliveira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
84%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
17
3
Decision Wins
4

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Hioki
Oliveira
Striking0.8 / 3.0Volume8.8 / 2.7Grappling2.4 / 5.8Wrestling1.7 / 4.1Submission0.0 / 6.8Pressure1.1 / 8.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.8
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.8
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.7
Hioki
Strike Zones
Oliveira
Hioki
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD4BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Oliveira
Attacking
8HEAD4BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Hioki targets the head (75% of attacks) — Oliveira absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Oliveira targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hioki absorbs 57% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Hioki
RND
Oliveira
0/0R00/0

Hioki · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0104.5W4.5W5.5L6.0L6.0L4.5W4.2L3.6L2011-102012-062013-082014-062015-05
WinLossTrend

Oliveira · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5W5.5W1.9L1.5L5.0W5.2W2.0L5.5L5.5W5.2W5.0W5.5W2.6L5.0W4.0L2.8L5.0W2.8L5.5W5.4W5.4W5.2W5.2W5.4W5.3W5.0W5.9W6.6W6.6W4.1L6.0W7.1L5.3W3.9L6.2W5.6W2010-082014-062018-062021-122026-03
WinLossTrend

Hioki · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Dan HookerRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Miocic vs Hunt · 2015-05
L · Sub · R2
Charles OliveiraRating 4.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Ivan MenjivarRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kim vs Hathaway · 2014-03
L · Dec · R3
Darren ElkinsRating 6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 6
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01

Oliveira · Last 5

W · Dec · R5
Max HollowayRating 5.6
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Sub · R2
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · KO · R1
Ilia TopuriaRating 3.9
KO/TKO
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Michael ChandlerRating 5.3
Decision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Dec · R3
Arman TsarukyanRating 7.1
Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Hatsu Hioki · Charles Oliveira
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