UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic
Phoenix, USA
13 Dec 2014
Lightweight
VS
84%
Michaud
16%
Whiteley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
DM
David Michaud
"BullDawg"
11 – 3
5'9"Orthodox37 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 11
GW
Garett Whiteley
"Goodnight"
7 – 3
Well-Rounded3-fight slide45 yrsOrthodox72" reach6'0"
CFR 2

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Michaud

Michaud is a strong favourite at 84% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Michaud has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Striking split: Whiteley throws more volume but Michaud connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Michaud
Whiteley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+6'0"
Reach
72"
37+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Michaud
Whiteley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
11.1
2.1
28.3
Performance Avg
0.0
25
Quality of Victory
0
33
Momentum Score
0
Michaud
Whiteley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
23
Head
19
5
Body
9
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
22Distance28
1Clinch1
6Ground3
Michaud
Whiteley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Michaud
Whiteley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
86
74
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
3/14 fights
Chin rating based on
3/10 fights
Michaud
Whiteley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
33
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Michaud
Whiteley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Michaud
Whiteley
Striking0.7 / 0.0Volume8.7 / 0.0Grappling2.4 / 0.0Wrestling1.7 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.0 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Michaud
Strike Zones
Whiteley
Michaud
Attacking
23HEAD5BODY1LEGS29 landed
Absorbing
19HEAD9BODY4LEGS32 absorbed
Whiteley
Attacking
19HEAD9BODY4LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
23HEAD5BODY1LEGS29 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Michaud targets the head (79% of attacks) — Whiteley absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Whiteley targets the head (59% of attacks) — Michaud absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Michaud
RND
Whiteley
0/0R00/0

Michaud · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0106.3L4.5W4.0L2014-052014-122015-04
WinLossTrend

Whiteley · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0101.5L5.7L5.5L2013-102014-012014-12
WinLossTrend

Michaud · Last 3

L · Sub · R3
Olivier Aubin-MercierRating 4
Submission
UFC 186: Johnson vs Horiguchi · 2015-04
W · Dec · R3
Garett WhiteleyRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Li JingliangRating 6.3
Decision
UFC 173: Barao vs Dillashaw · 2014-05

Whiteley · Last 3

L · Dec · R3
David MichaudRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Dos Santos vs Miocic · 2014-12
L · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rockhold vs Philippou · 2014-01
L · KO · R1
Alan PatrickRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10

News & Media

David Michaud · Garett Whiteley
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