UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Kattar
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
16 Jan 2021
Featherweight
VS
56%
Holloway
44%
Kattar
Win Probability
Decision
Round 5 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Holloway
This is a genuine toss-up — Holloway at 56% vs Kattar at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holloway's chin rating of 52 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Kattar has a chin rating of 64 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Holloway
Kattar
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
69"
Reach
+72"
34+
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Holloway
Kattar
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
56.2
44.3
56.8
Performance Avg
44.4
47
Quality of Victory
43
63
Momentum Score
33
Holloway
Kattar
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
1.5
52%
Strike Accuracy
42%
5.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
6.7
10 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
49
Head
20
19
Body
2
16
Leg
4
RangeRange
84Distance26
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Holloway
Kattar
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.7
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.7
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Holloway
Kattar
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
52
64
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
3 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
33/36 fights
Chin rating based on
15/33 fights
Holloway
Kattar
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
33
Current form
5-fight 📉 slide
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
Holloway
Kattar
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
52%
57%
10
KO / TKO Wins
4
2
Submission Wins
0
11
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Holloway
Kattar
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.7
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.0
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.7
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.4
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.4
HollowayKattar
Strike Zones
Holloway
Attacking
84 landedAbsorbing
26 absorbedKattar
Attacking
26 landedAbsorbing
84 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Holloway targets the head (58% of attacks) — Kattar absorbs 58% of strikes there
🎯Kattar targets the head (77% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 77% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Holloway
RND
Kattar
0/0R00/0
Holloway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Kattar · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Holloway · Last 5
Upcoming
Conor McGregorUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
Kattar · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Steve GarciaRating 7.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Youssef ZalalRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Rodrigues · 2025-02
L · Dec · R3
Aljamain SterlingRating 6.5Decision
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04
L · KO · R2
Arnold AllenRating 3.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
L · Dec · R5
Josh EmmettRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Emmett · 2022-06