UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Las Vegas, USA
27 Sept 2014
Bantamweight
VS
27%
Gamburyan
73%
Gibson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:56
MG
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15 – 10
5'5"67" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
Cody
Cody Gibson
"The Renegade"
22 – 12
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Gibson

Gibson is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Gibson has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Gamburyan's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gibson has a chin rating of 46 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Gamburyan
Gibson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+71"
45
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gamburyan
Gibson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
39.9
40.4
Performance Avg
39.8
39
Quality of Victory
46
63
Momentum Score
25
Gamburyan
Gibson
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
37%
Strike Accuracy
46%
0.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.9
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
13
0
Body
5
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance10
1Clinch6
0Ground4
Gamburyan
Gibson
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Gamburyan
Gibson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
46
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
10/34 fights
Gamburyan
Gibson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Gamburyan
Gibson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gamburyan
Gibson
Striking0.9 / 3.9Volume4.9 / 3.3Grappling5.2 / 3.5Wrestling3.6 / 2.4Submission5.0 / 3.3Pressure4.8 / 5.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.6
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.3
Gamburyan
Strike Zones
Gibson
Gamburyan
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Gibson
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gibson absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Gibson targets the head (65% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gamburyan
RND
Gibson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gamburyan · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0102.8L5.0W5.0W1.5L5.5L5.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.5L5.5W4.5W1.5L2.8L2007-062009-012013-082016-042016-11
WinLossTrend

Gibson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0106.5L5.0W2.8L5.7L5.9L5.5L5.3W4.9W3.8L2.3L2014-022015-022024-072025-10
WinLossTrend

Gamburyan · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Johnny EduardoRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John DodsonRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott JorgensenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody GibsonRating 5.5
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

Gibson · Last 5

L · KO · R1
AoriqilengRating 2.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Da'Mon BlackshearRating 3.8
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Chad AnheligerRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Brian KelleherRating 5.3
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07
L · Dec · R3
Miles JohnsRating 5.5
Decision
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News & Media

Manvel Gamburyan · Cody Gibson
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