METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso
Las Vegas, USA
27 Sept 2014
Bantamweight
VS
28%
Gamburyan
72%
Gibson
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 4:56
MG
Manvel Gamburyan
"The Anvil"
15 – 10
5'5"67" reachOrthodox45 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
Cody
Cody Gibson
"The Renegade"
22 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox71" reach5'10"
CFR 38
★ Official Result
Manvel GamburyanwinsSubmissionR2 · 4:56
def. Cody Gibson · UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Gibson
→
Actual result
Gamburyan wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis

Gibson is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 23 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Gamburyan's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Gibson has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
GamburyanGibson
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Gamburyan
Gibson
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
+5'10"
67"
Reach
+71"
45
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Gamburyan
Gibson
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
15.1
38.3
40.4
Performance Avg
38.7
39
Quality of Victory
46
63
Momentum Score
25
Gamburyan
Gibson
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
/ 10
3.9
/ 10
4.8
Style: Pressure
5.5
4.9
Style: Volume
3.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
13
0
Body
5
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
3Distance10
1Clinch6
0Ground4
Gamburyan
Gibson
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.4
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
3.3
3
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Gamburyan
Gibson
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/25 fights
Chin rating based on
11/34 fights
Gamburyan
Gibson
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
63
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Gamburyan
Gibson
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
67%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Gamburyan
Gibson
Striking0.9 / 3.9Volume4.9 / 3.2Grappling5.2 / 3.5Wrestling3.6 / 2.4Submission5.0 / 3.3Pressure4.8 / 5.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.9
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
3.3
4.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.2
Gamburyan
Strike Zones
Gibson
Gamburyan
Attacking
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD5BODY2LEGS20 absorbed
Gibson
Attacking
13HEAD5BODY2LEGS20 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD0BODY1LEGS4 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Gamburyan targets the head (75% of attacks) — Gibson absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Gibson targets the head (65% of attacks) — Gamburyan absorbs 65% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Gamburyan
RND
Gibson
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Gamburyan · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Johnny Eduardo
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
L · KO · R1
John Dodson
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Teixeira vs Evans · 2016-04
W · Dec · R3
Scott Jorgensen
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Sub · R2
Cody Gibson
Submission
UFC 178: Johnson vs Cariaso · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Nik Lentz
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05

Gibson · Last 5

L · Sub · R3
Abdul Hussein
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Aoriqileng
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: De Ridder vs. Allen · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Da'Mon Blackshear
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Chad Anheliger
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Albazi · 2024-11
W · Sub · R1
Brian Kelleher
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Lemos vs. Jandiroba · 2024-07

News & Media

Manvel Gamburyan · Cody Gibson
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