UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver
Boston, USA
18 Jan 2015
Flyweight
VS
23%
Matsuda
77%
Sanchez
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TM
Tateki Matsuda
"Tech"
13 – 8
5'7"Orthodox40 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 3
JS
Joby Sanchez
11 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"
CFR 9

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sanchez

Sanchez is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

Sanchez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 25 points.

Sanchez has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sanchez has a chin rating of 62 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Matsuda
Sanchez
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'6"
Reach
68"
40
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Matsuda
Sanchez
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
2.7
8.8
0.0
Performance Avg
23.0
0
Quality of Victory
25
0
Momentum Score
25
Matsuda
Sanchez
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.7
1.4
26%
Strike Accuracy
34%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
13
Head
24
0
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance19
0Clinch2
0Ground5
Matsuda
Sanchez
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
0.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Matsuda
Sanchez
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
96
62
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
2/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/15 fights
Matsuda
Sanchez
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Matsuda
Sanchez
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Matsuda
Sanchez
Striking0.0 / 0.4Volume0.0 / 8.4Grappling0.0 / 2.4Wrestling0.0 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure0.0 / 0.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Matsuda
Strike Zones
Sanchez
Matsuda
Attacking
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD2BODY0LEGS26 absorbed
Sanchez
Attacking
24HEAD2BODY0LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
13HEAD0BODY0LEGS13 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Matsuda targets the head (100% of attacks) — Sanchez absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Sanchez targets the head (92% of attacks) — Matsuda absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Matsuda
RND
Sanchez
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Matsuda · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.5
0105.5L5.5L2014-092015-01
WinLossTrend

Sanchez · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.5L4.5W2.8L1.5L5.5L2014-082015-012015-122018-022018-11
WinLossTrend

Matsuda · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Joby SanchezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Chris BealRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Jacare vs Mousasi · 2014-09

Sanchez · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Mark De La RosaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Korean Zombie vs. Rodriguez · 2018-11
L · Sub · R1
Robert SanchezRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Cerrone vs. Medeiros · 2018-02
L · KO · R2
Geane HerreraRating 2.8
KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
W · Dec · R3
Tateki MatsudaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Wilson ReisRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Dos Anjos · 2014-08

News & Media

Tateki Matsuda · Joby Sanchez
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