Carli Judice vs Jeisla Chaves — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Sacramento, USA

22 Aug 2026

Women's Flyweight

65%

Judice

35%

Chaves

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 1:39

Carli Judice

"Crispy"

6 – 2

5'7"68" reachSouthpaw27 yrs4-fight win streakKnockout Artist

CFR 72

Jeisla Chaves

"A Braba"

7 – 0

Well-Rounded29 yrsOrthodox68" reach5'6"

CFR 39

★ Official Result

Carli JudicewinsKO/TKOR1 · 1:39

def. Jeisla Chaves · UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Judice

Judice by TKO in round two — Chaves' output carries the opening five minutes, th…

→

Actual result

Judice wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

A flyweight on a three-fight run with an 8.17 striking rating meets an unbeaten Brazilian whose entire UFC record is one decision.

Carli Judice has three straight wins and a rating that reflects them. Jeisla Chaves has one UFC fight, a decision, and a set of numbers assembled from it. That asymmetry is the honest starting point for anything written about this bout. Judice's profile is coherent and specific. An 8.17 striking rating, 6.92 pressure, 4.17 volume, a 98.0 chin and a 100.0 momentum score, built on a decision over J…

Judice intel

Judice (6-2) has won three in a row: a decision over Juliana Miller in February, a third-round TKO of Nicolle Caliari in July 2025 and a first-round knockout of Yuneisy Duben in March 2025. She is 27, a southpaw, and her 8.17 striking rating with a 98.0 chin is the most complete profile in the fight.

Chaves intel

Chaves (7-0) is unbeaten but has exactly one recorded UFC appearance, a decision over Yuneisy Duben in June. Her 100.0 chin rating, 100.0 momentum and 10.0 volume score all come from that single fight, and her 25.0 quality-of-victory is the honest counterweight to them.

Key angles

Chaves' entire rating rests on one decision — the 60.8 composite is provisional

Both women have beaten Yuneisy Duben; Judice needed 100 seconds, Chaves needed fifteen minutes

A 10.0 volume score against 4.17 — Chaves' only obvious route is to out-throw her

Judice's 8.17 striking against a 100.0 chin rating that has never been tested by a puncher

A 45.0 quality-of-victory against 25.0, the widest gap in the bout

Risk flags

One fight is not enough to know what Chaves is; the composite could be understating her badly

Judice's 4.17 volume means a disciplined fifteen-minute output game could take the cards away from her, as Fernandes did in June 2024

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

JudiceChaves

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Judice

Chaves

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'7"+

Height

5'6"

68"

Reach

68"

27+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Judice

Chaves

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

71.6

38.9

61.2

Performance Avg

35.0

Quality of Victory

100

Momentum Score

Judice

Chaves

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

9.1

/ 10

1.0

/ 10

7.7

Style: Pressure

1.5

3.6

Style: Volume

9.0

3 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

0 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

12Distance9

2Clinch1

2Ground0

Judice

Chaves

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

0.6

/ 10

2.4

/ 10

0.4

Wrestling Style (/10)

1.7

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

0.0

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Judice

Chaves

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Never stopped

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

—

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

—

Last KO loss

Most recent fight

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

5/8 fights

Chin rating based on

2/7 fights

Judice

Chaves

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

100

4-fight 🔥 win streak

Current form

W · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

W · KO · R1

L · Dec · R3

Last 5

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

Judice

Chaves

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

75%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Judice

Chaves

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

9.1

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

1.0

0.6

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.4

0.4

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

1.7

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

0.0

7.7

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

1.5

3.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

9.0

Judice

Strike Zones

Chaves

Judice

Attacking

16 landed

Absorbing

10 absorbed

Chaves

Attacking

10 landed

Absorbing

16 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Judice targets the head (56% of attacks) — Chaves absorbs 56% of strikes there

🎯Chaves targets the body (50% of attacks) — Judice absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Judice

RND

Chaves

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Judice · Last 5

W · KO · R1

Jeisla Chaves

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08

W · Dec · R3

Juliana Miller

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02

W · KO · R3

Nicolle Caliari

KO/TKO

UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07

W · KO · R1

Yuneisy Duben

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03

L · Dec · R3

Gabriella Fernandes

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06

Chaves · Last 2

L · KO · R1

Carli Judice

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08

W · Dec · R3

Yuneisy Duben

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06

News & Media

Carli Judice · Jeisla Chaves

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