UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch
Broomfield, USA
14 Feb 2015
Lightweight
VS
89%
Escudero
11%
Lima
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Escudero
Escudero is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 15 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Escudero has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 53 points.
Escudero has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Escudero's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Escudero
Lima
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'7"
71"
Reach
40
Age
+35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Escudero
Lima
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
2.1
48.3
Performance Avg
0.0
53
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Escudero
Lima
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
0.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
21%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
4
2
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance4
5Clinch1
13Ground0
Escudero
Lima
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
3.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Escudero
Lima
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/40 fights
Chin rating based on
2/11 fights
Escudero
Lima
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
Escudero
Lima
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Escudero
Lima
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
EscuderoLima
Strike Zones
Escudero
Attacking
31 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedLima
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
31 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Escudero targets the head (94% of attacks) — Lima absorbs 94% of strikes there
🎯Lima targets the head (80% of attacks) — Escudero absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Escudero
RND
Lima
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Escudero · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Lima · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Escudero · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Kevin LeeRating 5.5Decision
UFC 197: Jones vs Saint Preux · 2016-04
L · Dec · R3
Leandro SilvaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
W · Sub · R1
Drew DoberRating 6.2Submission
UFC 188: Velasquez vs Werdum · 2015-06
W · Dec · R3
Rodrigo de LimaRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · Dec · R3
Leonardo SantosRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
Lima · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Efrain EscuderoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Thatch · 2015-02
L · KO · R2
Neil MagnyRating 3.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Te Huna vs Marquardt · 2014-06