METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Welterweight
VS
67%
Waldburger
33%
Mitchell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
TJ WaldburgerwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. David Mitchell · UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Waldburger
→
Actual result
Waldburger wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Waldburger holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Mitchell has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Waldburger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.
Risk flags
Waldburger's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
WaldburgerMitchell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Waldburger
Mitchell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
38+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Waldburger
Mitchell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
8.4
47.4
Performance Avg
23.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
15
Waldburger
Mitchell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
0.4
/ 10
6.8
Style: Pressure
0.6
3.0
Style: Volume
8.4
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch1
16Ground2
Waldburger
Mitchell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
7.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Waldburger
Mitchell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/29 fights
Waldburger
Mitchell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Waldburger
Mitchell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Waldburger
Mitchell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
WaldburgerMitchell
Strike Zones
Waldburger
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedMitchell
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Waldburger targets the head (89% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Mitchell targets the head (75% of attacks) — Waldburger absorbs 75% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Waldburger
RND
Mitchell
0/0R00/0
Waldburger · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Mike PyleKO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R1
Adlan AmagovKO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · Sub · R2
Nick CatoneSubmission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleDecision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Jake HechtSubmission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03
Mitchell · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Yan CabralDecision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceKO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Simeon ThoresenDecision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoDecision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
TJ WaldburgerDecision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09