UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares
Austin, USA
15 Sept 2010
Welterweight
VS
67%
Waldburger
33%
Mitchell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TW
TJ Waldburger
16 – 9
5'11"75" reachOrthodox38 yrs2-fight slideSubmission Hunter
CFR 17
DM
David Mitchell
"Daudi"
22 – 7
Well-Rounded2-fight slide46 yrsOrthodox75" reach6'0"
CFR 8

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Waldburger

Waldburger holds a meaningful edge at 67% per the CFR ratings — but Mitchell has real paths to victory.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Waldburger has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 21 points.

Waldburger has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Waldburger's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Waldburger
Mitchell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'0"
75"
Reach
75"
38+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Waldburger
Mitchell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
8.4
47.4
Performance Avg
23.0
46
Quality of Victory
25
50
Momentum Score
15
Waldburger
Mitchell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.6
50%
Strike Accuracy
35%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
3
0
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance1
1Clinch1
16Ground2
Waldburger
Mitchell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
6.6
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
4.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
7.5
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Waldburger
Mitchell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
3
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.7 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
5/29 fights
Waldburger
Mitchell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
15
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Waldburger
Mitchell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Waldburger
Mitchell
Striking1.0 / 0.4Volume3.0 / 8.4Grappling6.6 / 2.4Wrestling4.6 / 1.7Submission7.5 / 0.0Pressure6.8 / 0.6
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
6.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
4.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
7.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.6
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.4
Waldburger
Strike Zones
Mitchell
Waldburger
Attacking
16HEAD0BODY2LEGS18 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 absorbed
Mitchell
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY0LEGS4 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD0BODY2LEGS18 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Waldburger targets the head (89% of attacks) — Mitchell absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Mitchell targets the head (75% of attacks) — Waldburger absorbs 75% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Waldburger
RND
Mitchell
0/0R00/0

Waldburger · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0104.5W1.5L5.0W5.0W5.5L5.2W1.5L4.0L2010-092011-092012-062013-102014-02
WinLossTrend

Mitchell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0105.5L5.5L4.5W2.8L5.5L2010-092011-082013-012013-072013-10
WinLossTrend

Waldburger · Last 5

L · KO · R3
Mike PyleRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 170: Rousey vs McMann · 2014-02
L · KO · R1
Adlan AmagovRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 166: Velasquez vs Dos Santos 3 · 2013-10
W · Sub · R2
Nick CatoneRating 5.2
Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Carwin vs. Team Nelson Finale · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Brian EbersoleRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida · 2012-06
W · Sub · R1
Jake HechtRating 5
Submission
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann · 2012-03

Mitchell · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Yan CabralRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs Shields · 2013-10
L · KO · R2
Mike PierceRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 162: Silva vs Weidman · 2013-07
W · Dec · R3
Simeon ThoresenRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Dodson · 2013-01
L · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami · 2011-08
L · Dec · R3
TJ WaldburgerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs Palhares · 2010-09

News & Media

TJ Waldburger · David Mitchell
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