Umar Nurmagomedov vs Raoni Barcelos — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov

Las Vegas, USA

14 Jan 2023

Bantamweight

52%

Nurmagomedov

48%

Barcelos

Win Probability

KO/TKO

Round 1 · 4:40

Umar Nurmagomedov

20 – 1

5'8"69" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded

CFR 57

Raoni Barcelos

22 – 5

Well-Rounded5-fight win streak39 yrsOrthodox67" reach5'7"

CFR 52

★ Official Result

Umar NurmagomedovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:40

def. Raoni Barcelos · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Nurmagomedov

→

Actual result

Nurmagomedov wins

KO/TKO · R1

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Nurmagomedov at 52% vs Barcelos at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

NurmagomedovBarcelos

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Nurmagomedov

Barcelos

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'8"+

Height

5'7"

69"+

Reach

67"

30+

Age

Orthodox

Stance

Orthodox

Nurmagomedov

Barcelos

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

56.7

51.6

53.6

Performance Avg

49.8

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Nurmagomedov

Barcelos

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

2.9

/ 10

3.3

/ 10

5.0

Style: Pressure

4.8

6.6

Style: Volume

6.6

1 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

2 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

35Distance10

0Clinch3

1Ground0

Nurmagomedov

Barcelos

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.5

/ 10

3.0

/ 10

2.5

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.1

2.5

Submission Style (/10)

1.8

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Nurmagomedov

Barcelos

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

Moderate

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R2.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R1.0 stoppage

Most recent fight

Last KO loss

7 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

10/21 fights

Chin rating based on

16/27 fights

Nurmagomedov

Barcelos

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

Current form

5-fight 🔥 win streak

L · KO · R2

W · Dec · R3

L · Dec · R5

W · Dec · R5

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

Nurmagomedov

Barcelos

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

38%

36%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Nurmagomedov

Barcelos

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

2.9

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

3.3

3.5

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

3.0

2.5

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.1

2.5

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.8

5.0

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

4.8

6.6

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

6.6

Nurmagomedov

Strike Zones

Barcelos

Nurmagomedov

Attacking

36 landed

Absorbing

13 absorbed

Barcelos

Attacking

13 landed

Absorbing

36 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (56% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 56% of strikes there

🎯Barcelos targets the head (46% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 46% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Nurmagomedov

RND

Barcelos

0/0R00/0

0/0R10/0

Nurmagomedov · Last 5

L · KO · R2

Song Yadong

KO/TKO

UFC Fight Night: Nurmagomedov vs. Song · 2026-08

W · Dec · R3

Deiveson Figueiredo

Decision

UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01

W · Dec · R3

Mario Bautista

Decision

UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10

L · Dec · R5

Merab Dvalishvili

Decision

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

W · Dec · R5

Cory Sandhagen

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08

Barcelos · Last 5

Upcoming

Raul Rosas Jr.

UFC Fight Night: Rosas Jr. vs. Barcelos · 2026-09

W · Dec · R3

Montel Jackson

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04

W · Dec · R3

Ricky Simon

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11

W · Dec · R3

Cody Garbrandt

Decision

UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06

W · Dec · R3

Payton Talbott

Decision

UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

News & Media

Umar Nurmagomedov · Raoni Barcelos

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