METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Las Vegas, USA
14 Jan 2023
Bantamweight
VS
54%
Nurmagomedov
46%
Barcelos
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:40
★ Official Result
Umar NurmagomedovwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:40
def. Raoni Barcelos · UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Imavov
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Nurmagomedov
→
Actual result
Nurmagomedov wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Nurmagomedov at 54% vs Barcelos at 46% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 9 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Striking split: Barcelos throws more volume but Nurmagomedov connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
NurmagomedovBarcelos
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Nurmagomedov
Barcelos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"+
Height
5'7"
69"+
Reach
67"
30+
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Nurmagomedov
Barcelos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
60.4
51.6
57.2
Performance Avg
49.8
36
Quality of Victory
34
75
Momentum Score
63
Nurmagomedov
Barcelos
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
2.1
62%
Strike Accuracy
55%
3.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
6
12
Body
5
4
Leg
2
RangeRange
35Distance10
0Clinch3
1Ground0
Nurmagomedov
Barcelos
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.5
/ 10
3.0
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.1
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
1.8
2
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Nurmagomedov
Barcelos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/21 fights
Chin rating based on
15/27 fights
Nurmagomedov
Barcelos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
75
63
2-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
5-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
Nurmagomedov
Barcelos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
38%
36%
1
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
2
5
Decision Wins
7
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Nurmagomedov
Barcelos
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.3
3.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.0
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.1
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.8
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
6.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
NurmagomedovBarcelos
Strike Zones
Nurmagomedov
Attacking
36 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedBarcelos
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
36 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Nurmagomedov targets the head (56% of attacks) — Barcelos absorbs 56% of strikes there
🎯Barcelos targets the head (46% of attacks) — Nurmagomedov absorbs 46% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Nurmagomedov
RND
Barcelos
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Nurmagomedov · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Barcelos · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Nurmagomedov · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6Decision
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett · 2026-01
W · Dec · R3
Mario BautistaRating 5.6Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
L · Dec · R5
Merab DvalishviliRating 6.8Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Dec · R5
Cory SandhagenRating 6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Bekzat AlmakhanRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Gaziev · 2024-03
Barcelos · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Montel JacksonRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Ricky SimonRating 5.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bonfim vs. Brown · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Cody GarbrandtRating 5.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Dec · R3
Payton TalbottRating 6Decision
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R3
Cristian QuinonezRating 6.3Submission
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02