UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks
Las Vegas, USA
16 Nov 2013
Welterweight
VS
89%
High
11%
Lapsley
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: High
High is a strong favourite at 89% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
High has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 40 points.
Striking split: High throws more volume but Lapsley connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
High's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
High
Lapsley
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
+5'9"
73"
Reach
44+
Age
46
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
High
Lapsley
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.2
2.1
39.7
Performance Avg
0.0
40
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
High
Lapsley
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.3
0.3
29%
Strike Accuracy
35%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
0Ground1
High
Lapsley
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.7
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
High
Lapsley
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
76
Moderate
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/30 fights
High
Lapsley
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
High
Lapsley
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
High
Lapsley
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
HighLapsley
Strike Zones
High
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
4 absorbedLapsley
Attacking
4 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯High targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lapsley absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Lapsley targets the head (100% of attacks) — High absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
High
RND
Lapsley
0/0R00/0
High · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Lapsley · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.5WinLossTrend
High · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 2.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
W · Dec · R3
Anthony LapsleyRating 4.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
W · Sub · R1
James HeadRating 5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Condit vs Kampmann 2 · 2013-08
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC on FUEL TV: Nogueira vs. Werdum · 2013-06
L · Dec · R3
Charlie BrennemanRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi · 2010-03
Lapsley · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Albert TumenovRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Brown vs Silva · 2014-05
L · Dec · R3
Jason HighRating 5.5Decision
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11