UFC 17: Redemption
Mobile, USA
15 May 1998
Heavyweight
VS
47%
Williams
53%
Coleman
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 0:38
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Coleman
This is a genuine toss-up — Williams at 47% vs Coleman at 53% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Coleman has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Williams's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Coleman has a chin rating of 40 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Williams
Coleman
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
Reach
75"
50+
Age
61
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Williams
Coleman
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
20.1
22.9
47.6
Performance Avg
60.5
54
Quality of Victory
62
78
Momentum Score
84
Williams
Coleman
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.5
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
61%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
0
0
Body
0
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
7Distance0
1Clinch0
1Ground0
Williams
Coleman
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
5.3
/ 10
3.8
/ 10
3.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.6
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
4.3
2
Submission wins
3
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Williams
Coleman
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
40
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
12/26 fights
Williams
Coleman
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
84
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R2
L · KO · R2
Williams
Coleman
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
86%
1
KO / TKO Wins
3
2
Submission Wins
3
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Williams
Coleman
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
5.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.8
3.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.6
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.3
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
0.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.3
WilliamsColeman
Strike Zones
Williams
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
0 absorbedColeman
Attacking
0 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Williams targets the head (89% of attacks) — Coleman absorbs 89% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Williams
RND
Coleman
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Williams · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.1WinLossTrend
Coleman · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Williams · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Frank MirRating 1.5Submission
UFC 36: Worlds Collide · 2002-03
L · KO · R2
Ricco RodriguezRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 34: High Voltage · 2001-11
L · KO · R2
Semmy SchiltRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
L · Dec · R5
Kevin RandlemanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 23: Ultimate Japan 2 · 1999-11
W · Sub · R1
Travis FultonRating 5Submission
UFC 20: Battle for the Gold · 1999-05
Coleman · Last 5
L · Sub · R2
Randy CoutureRating 2.8Submission
UFC 109: Relentless · 2010-02
W · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 4.5Decision
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R3
Mauricio RuaRating 4KO/TKO
UFC 93: Franklin vs Henderson · 2009-01
L · Dec · R2
Pedro RizzoRating 4.8Decision
UFC 18: The Road to the Heavyweight Title · 1999-01
L · KO · R2
Pete WilliamsRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 17: Redemption · 1998-05