METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith
Stockholm, Sweden
1 Jun 2019
Lightweight
VS
97%
Alvarez
3%
Belluardo
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:22
★ Official Result
Joel AlvarezwinsKO/TKOR2 · 2:22
def. Danilo Belluardo · UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Alvarez
→
Actual result
Alvarez wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Alvarez is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 58 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Alvarez has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 51 points.
Risk flags
Alvarez's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Belluardo has a chin rating of 56 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlvarezBelluardo
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Alvarez
Belluardo
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'0"
77"+
Reach
74"
33
Age
+32
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Alvarez
Belluardo
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.3
1.6
57.2
Performance Avg
0.0
51
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Alvarez
Belluardo
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
8.1
Style: Pressure
0.0
2.3
Style: Volume
0.0
4 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
2
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
1Clinch0
10Ground0
Alvarez
Belluardo
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.3
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
2.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Alvarez
Belluardo
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
56
Moderate
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
1
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
6 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
12/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/17 fights
Alvarez
Belluardo
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Alvarez
Belluardo
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
4
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Alvarez
Belluardo
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
3.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
AlvarezBelluardo
Strike Zones
Alvarez
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedBelluardo
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Alvarez targets the head (92% of attacks) — Belluardo absorbs 92% of strikes there
🎯Belluardo targets the head (100% of attacks) — Alvarez absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Alvarez
RND
Belluardo
0/0R00/0
Alvarez · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Chidi NjokuaniDecision
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · Sub · R2
Yaroslav AmosovSubmission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
W · Dec · R3
Vicente LuqueDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Drakkar KloseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
W · KO · R3
Elves BrenerKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
Belluardo · Last 2
L · KO · R1
Mark MadsenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Cannonier · 2019-09
L · KO · R2
Joel AlvarezKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Smith · 2019-06