METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
23 Jan 2021
Lightweight
VS
52%
Hooker
48%
Chandler
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:30
★ Official Result
Michael ChandlerwinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:30
def. Dan Hooker · UFC 257: Poirier vs. McGregor
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Hooker
→
Actual result
Chandler wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Hooker at 52% vs Chandler at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Chandler has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Hooker's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Chandler has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
HookerChandler
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Hooker
Chandler
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'8"
75"+
Reach
71"
36+
Age
40
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
Hooker
Chandler
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
51.8
47.8
49.4
Performance Avg
44.5
45
Quality of Victory
58
78
Momentum Score
46
Hooker
Chandler
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
10.0
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
7.8
4.0
Style: Volume
0.5
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
12
0
Body
4
8
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance7
0Clinch0
0Ground10
Hooker
Chandler
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Hooker
Chandler
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
18
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
5
KO/TKO Losses
3
2
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/38 fights
Chin rating based on
8/33 fights
Hooker
Chandler
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
Hooker
Chandler
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
64%
100%
7
KO / TKO Wins
2
2
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Hooker
Chandler
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
HookerChandler
Strike Zones
Hooker
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedChandler
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Hooker targets the legs (100% of attacks) — Chandler absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Chandler targets the head (71% of attacks) — Hooker absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Hooker
RND
Chandler
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Hooker · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Salahdine ParnasseKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hooker vs. Parnasse · 2026-09
L · KO · R2
Benoit Saint DenisKO/TKO
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
L · Sub · R2
Arman TsarukyanSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Tsarukyan vs. Hooker · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotDecision
UFC 305: Du Plessis vs. Adesanya · 2024-08
W · Dec · R3
Jalin TurnerDecision
UFC 290: Volkanovski vs. Rodriguez · 2023-07
Chandler · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Mauricio RuffyKO/TKO
UFC Freedom 250 · 2026-06
L · KO · R3
Paddy PimblettKO/TKO
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraDecision
UFC 309: Jones vs. Miocic · 2024-11
L · Sub · R3
Dustin PoirierSubmission
UFC 281: Adesanya vs. Pereira · 2022-11
W · KO · R2
Tony FergusonKO/TKO
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05