METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
★ Championship Bout · Interim Heavyweight
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Atlantic City, USA
4 Jun 2005
Interim Heavyweight
VS
74%
Arlovski
26%
Eilers
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 4:10
★ Official Result
Andrei ArlovskiwinsKO/TKOR1 · 4:10
def. Justin Eilers · UFC 53: Heavy Hitters
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Arlovski
→
Actual result
Arlovski wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Arlovski is a strong favourite at 74% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 32 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Eilers has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Striking split: Eilers throws more volume but Arlovski connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Arlovski's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Eilers has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ArlovskiEilers
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Arlovski
Eilers
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"+
Height
6'1"
77"
Reach
47+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Arlovski
Eilers
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
49.1
16.9
50.5
Performance Avg
46.0
47
Quality of Victory
60
94
Momentum Score
36
Arlovski
Eilers
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.5
2.0
47%
Strike Accuracy
31%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
9 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
4
1
Body
0
10
Leg
1
RangeRange
27Distance5
3Clinch0
3Ground0
Arlovski
Eilers
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.9
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Arlovski
Eilers
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
8
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.8 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
42/58 fights
Chin rating based on
4/26 fights
Arlovski
Eilers
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
94
36
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
Arlovski
Eilers
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
48%
100%
9
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
0
12
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Arlovski
Eilers
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.8
5.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.5
ArlovskiEilers
Strike Zones
Arlovski
Attacking
33 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedEilers
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
33 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Arlovski targets the head (67% of attacks) — Eilers absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Eilers targets the head (80% of attacks) — Arlovski absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Arlovski
RND
Eilers
0/0R00/0
Arlovski · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Eilers · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.5WinLossTrend
Arlovski · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Martin BudayRating 6.5Decision
UFC 303: Pereira vs. Prochazka 2 · 2024-06
L · Dec · R3
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Walker 2 · 2024-01
L · KO · R2
Don'Tale MayesRating 3.1KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
L · Sub · R1
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 2.1Submission
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
W · Dec · R3
Jake CollierRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Font vs. Vera · 2022-04
Eilers · Last 4
L · KO · R1
Brandon VeraRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02
L · KO · R1
Andrei ArlovskiRating 2.2KO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · KO · R1
Paul BuentelloRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 51: Super Saturday · 2005-02
W · KO · R1
Mike KyleRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 49: Unfinished Business · 2004-08