METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
San Diego, USA
13 Dec 2006
Welterweight
VS
59%
Davis
41%
Carter
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MD
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Marcus DaviswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Shonie Carter · UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Davis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 59% vs Carter at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Davis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Davis has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Davis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Carter has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DavisCarter
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Carter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
52+
Age
54
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Davis
Carter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
13.2
52.8
Performance Avg
41.0
48
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
25
Davis
Carter
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
0.9
42%
Strike Accuracy
40%
4.5
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.3
3 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
4
3
Body
3
3
Leg
8
RangeRange
19Distance14
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Davis
Carter
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.4
4.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.6
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Davis
Carter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/82 fights
Davis
Carter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R2
Davis
Carter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Carter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
DavisCarter
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedCarter
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (71% of attacks) — Carter absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Carter targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Carter
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Davis · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Carter · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Davis · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensRating 4.5KO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazRating 4Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletRating 5.2KO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyRating 5.5Decision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
Carter · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus DavisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · KO · R2
Pat MiletichRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06
W · KO · R3
Matt SerraRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
W · Dec · R2
Adrian SerranoRating 4.2Decision
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06