METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
San Diego, USA
13 Dec 2006
Welterweight
VS
59%
Davis
41%
Carter
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MD
CFR 19
★ Official Result
Marcus DaviswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Shonie Carter · UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Davis
→
Actual result
Davis wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Davis at 59% vs Carter at 41% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Davis has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Davis's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Carter has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DavisCarter
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Davis
Carter
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
70"
Reach
53+
Age
54
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Davis
Carter
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
18.7
13.2
52.8
Performance Avg
41.0
48
Quality of Victory
35
56
Momentum Score
25
Davis
Carter
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.5
/ 10
4.3
/ 10
7.2
Style: Pressure
3.8
3.0
Style: Volume
6.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
4
3
Body
3
3
Leg
8
RangeRange
19Distance14
2Clinch1
0Ground0
Davis
Carter
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.1
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
4.4
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Davis
Carter
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
38
54
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/33 fights
Chin rating based on
6/82 fights
Davis
Carter
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
56
25
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R2
Davis
Carter
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
78%
33%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
2
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Davis
Carter
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.3
4.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.3
DavisCarter
Strike Zones
Davis
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedCarter
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Davis targets the head (71% of attacks) — Carter absorbs 71% of strikes there
🎯Carter targets the legs (53% of attacks) — Davis absorbs 53% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Davis
RND
Carter
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Davis · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Jeremy StephensKO/TKO
UFC 125: Resolution · 2011-01
L · Sub · R3
Nate DiazSubmission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
W · KO · R2
Jonathan GouletKO/TKO
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2 · 2010-05
L · KO · R1
Ben SaundersKO/TKO
UFC 106: Ortiz vs Griffin 2 · 2009-11
L · Dec · R3
Dan HardyDecision
UFC 99: The Comeback · 2009-06
Carter · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Marcus DavisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sanchez vs Riggs · 2006-12
L · KO · R1
Nate QuarryKO/TKO
UFC 53: Heavy Hitters · 2005-06
L · KO · R2
Pat MiletichKO/TKO
UFC 32: Showdown in the Meadowlands · 2001-06
W · KO · R3
Matt SerraKO/TKO
UFC 31: Locked and Loaded · 2001-05
W · Dec · R2
Adrian SerranoDecision
UFC 26: Ultimate Field Of Dreams · 2000-06