METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Apr 2014
Middleweight
VS
60%
Leites
40%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:45
★ Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:45
def. Trevor Smith · UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leites
→
Actual result
Leites wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Leites holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Leites has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeitesSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leites
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
78"+
Reach
75"
45
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
10.9
48.8
Performance Avg
31.7
40
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
45
Leites
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.8
/ 10
0.8
/ 10
5.6
Style: Pressure
1.3
4.9
Style: Volume
8.8
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Leites
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.9
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
5
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Leites
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Leites
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Leites
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
LeitesSmith
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSmith
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (33% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
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W · Dec · R3
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L · Dec · R3
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Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovKO/TKO
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