METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson
Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates
11 Apr 2014
Middleweight
VS
60%
Leites
40%
Smith
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 0:45
★ Official Result
Thales LeiteswinsKO/TKOR1 · 0:45
def. Trevor Smith · UFC Fight Night: Minotauro vs Nelson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Leites
→
Actual result
Leites wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Leites holds a meaningful edge at 60% per the CFR ratings — but Smith has real paths to victory.
Key angles
Leites has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Smith has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Leites's chin rating of 64 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Smith has a chin rating of 26 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LeitesSmith
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Leites
Smith
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
78"+
Reach
75"
44+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Leites
Smith
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.4
10.9
48.8
Performance Avg
31.7
40
Quality of Victory
25
35
Momentum Score
45
Leites
Smith
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.1
39%
Strike Accuracy
53%
2.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.8
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
1
0
Body
1
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
3Distance3
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Leites
Smith
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Leites
Smith
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
64
26
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
21/37 fights
Chin rating based on
12/25 fights
Leites
Smith
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
35
45
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Leites
Smith
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
54%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
5
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Leites
Smith
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.8
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.9
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.3
4.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.8
LeitesSmith
Strike Zones
Leites
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
3 absorbedSmith
Attacking
3 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Leites targets the head (100% of attacks) — Smith absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Smith targets the head (33% of attacks) — Leites absorbs 33% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Leites
RND
Smith
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Leites · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Smith · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.4WinLossTrend
Leites · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Marreta vs. Anders · 2018-09
L · KO · R3
Jack HermanssonRating 4.9KO/TKO
UFC 224: Nunes vs. Pennington · 2018-05
L · Dec · R3
Brad TavaresRating 5.5Decision
UFC 216: Ferguson vs. Lee · 2017-10
W · Dec · R3
Sam AlveyRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
L · Dec · R3
Krzysztof JotkoRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bader vs. Nogueira · 2016-11
Smith · Last 5
L · KO · R3
Makhmud MuradovRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Rozenstruik · 2019-12
L · Dec · R3
Zak CummingsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Iaquinta · 2018-12
L · Dec · R3
Elias TheodorouRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Till · 2018-05
W · Dec · R3
Chris CamozziRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs. Teixeira · 2017-05
L · Dec · R3
Andrew SanchezRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Abdurakhimov · 2016-12