UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2012
Featherweight
VS
20%
Garcia
80%
Holloway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LG
Leonard Garcia
"Bad Boy"
18 – 13
5'10"68" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
Max
Max Holloway
"Blessed"
27 – 9
Well-Rounded34 yrsOrthodox69" reach5'11"
CFR 56

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Holloway

Holloway is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Holloway has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Garcia
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+69"
46
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
56.2
32.6
Performance Avg
56.8
40
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
63
Garcia
Holloway
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.2
21%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
31
4
Body
15
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
37Distance48
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Garcia
Holloway
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garcia
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/31 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
Garcia
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
63
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Garcia
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
52%
0
KO / TKO Wins
10
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garcia
Holloway
Striking0.4 / 5.8Volume4.4 / 4.9Grappling5.2 / 1.7Wrestling3.6 / 1.2Submission5.0 / 0.9Pressure4.2 / 5.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
Garcia
Strike Zones
Holloway
Garcia
Attacking
31HEAD4BODY4LEGS39 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD15BODY5LEGS51 absorbed
Holloway
Attacking
31HEAD15BODY5LEGS51 landed
Absorbing
31HEAD4BODY4LEGS39 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (79% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (61% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 61% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garcia
RND
Holloway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W3.2L5.5L5.5L6.6L5.5L2007-042010-122012-062013-04
WinLossTrend

Holloway · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0102.8L4.5W5.2W4.5W5.5L7.5L5.2W6.2W5.5W5.0W4.5W6.0W6.4W5.0W4.5W5.2W5.7W5.7W5.7W6.8L4.5W7.0L7.0L5.0W6.1W7.0L5.9W5.7W7.1W5.1L5.8W6.9L2012-022014-082017-062021-112026-03
WinLossTrend

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Matt GriceRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Chan Sung JungRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03

Holloway · Last 5

Upcoming
Conor McGregor
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9
Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8
Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1
KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04

News & Media

Leonard Garcia · Max Holloway
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