METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
Las Vegas, USA
29 Dec 2012
Featherweight
VS
20%
Garcia
80%
Holloway
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Max HollowaywinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Leonard Garcia · UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Holloway
→
Actual result
Holloway wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Holloway is a strong favourite at 80% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Holloway has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Holloway has a chin rating of 52 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GarciaHolloway
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Garcia
Holloway
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
+5'11"
68"
Reach
+69"
47
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Holloway
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
56.2
32.6
Performance Avg
56.8
40
Quality of Victory
47
39
Momentum Score
63
Garcia
Holloway
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
2.2
21%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.8
0 KOs
KO Finishes
10 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
31
Head
31
4
Body
15
4
Leg
5
RangeRange
37Distance48
2Clinch3
0Ground0
Garcia
Holloway
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.7
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garcia
Holloway
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
52
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/31 fights
Chin rating based on
33/36 fights
Garcia
Holloway
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
63
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R3
W · KO · R5
Garcia
Holloway
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
52%
0
KO / TKO Wins
10
1
Submission Wins
2
1
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garcia
Holloway
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.8
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.7
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.2
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.9
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.8
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.9
GarciaHolloway
Strike Zones
Garcia
Attacking
39 landedAbsorbing
51 absorbedHolloway
Attacking
51 landedAbsorbing
39 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the head (79% of attacks) — Holloway absorbs 79% of strikes there
🎯Holloway targets the head (61% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 61% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garcia
RND
Holloway
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Garcia · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Holloway · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Garcia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 5.5Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Matt GriceRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 5.5Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Chan Sung JungRating 3.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
Holloway · Last 5
Upcoming
Conor McGregorUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · Dec · R5
Charles OliveiraRating 6.9Decision
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
W · Dec · R5
Dustin PoirierRating 5.8Decision
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Ilia TopuriaRating 5.1KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
W · KO · R5
Justin GaethjeRating 7.1KO/TKO
UFC 300: Pereira vs. Hill · 2024-04