UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2
Manchester, United Kingdom
27 Jul 2024
Heavyweight
VS
73%
Parkin
27%
Brzeski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:23
Mick
Mick Parkin
10 – 1
6'4"79" reachOrthodox30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 57
Lukasz
Lukasz Brzeski
"The Bull"
9 – 7
Well-Rounded3-fight slide34 yrsOrthodox78" reach6'3"
CFR 21

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Parkin

Parkin is a strong favourite at 73% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Parkin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Brzeski has a chin rating of 18 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Parkin
Brzeski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'3"
79"+
Reach
78"
30+
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Parkin
Brzeski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
57.2
21.3
52.2
Performance Avg
20.7
34
Quality of Victory
25
78
Momentum Score
30
Parkin
Brzeski
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.5
2.3
51%
Strike Accuracy
50%
4.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
29
Head
12
0
Body
3
5
Leg
9
RangeRange
28Distance20
3Clinch4
3Ground0
Parkin
Brzeski
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.3
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Parkin
Brzeski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
18
Never stopped
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
3
0
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/11 fights
Chin rating based on
7/16 fights
Parkin
Brzeski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
78
30
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Parkin
Brzeski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Parkin
Brzeski
Striking4.1 / 0.3Volume7.6 / 8.3Grappling1.8 / 2.4Wrestling1.3 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 0.4
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.3
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.4
7.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.3
Parkin
Strike Zones
Brzeski
Parkin
Attacking
29HEAD0BODY5LEGS34 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD3BODY9LEGS24 absorbed
Brzeski
Attacking
12HEAD3BODY9LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
29HEAD0BODY5LEGS34 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Parkin targets the head (85% of attacks) — Brzeski absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Brzeski targets the head (50% of attacks) — Parkin absorbs 50% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Parkin
RND
Brzeski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Parkin · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.7W4.5W5.5W5.0W5.9L2023-072023-112024-032024-072025-03
WinLossTrend

Brzeski · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.2
0106.5L6.0L3.0L6.4W2.6L2.8L1.9L2022-082023-082024-072025-07
WinLossTrend

Parkin · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Brady · 2025-03
W · KO · R1
Lukasz BrzeskiRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Mohammed UsmanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Ribas vs. Namajunas · 2024-03
W · Dec · R3
Caio MachadoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Craig · 2023-11
W · Dec · R3
Jamal PoguesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura · 2023-07

Brzeski · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Ryan SpannRating 1.9
Submission
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · KO · R1
Kennedy NzechukwuRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
L · KO · R1
Mick ParkinRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07
W · Dec · R3
Valter WalkerRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Curtis 2 · 2024-04
L · KO · R1
Waldo Cortes AcostaRating 3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08

News & Media

Mick Parkin · Lukasz Brzeski
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