UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall
London, United Kingdom
23 Jul 2022
Women's Flyweight
VS
57%
McCann
43%
Goldy
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:52
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: McCann
This is a genuine toss-up — McCann at 57% vs Goldy at 43% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Goldy has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
McCann has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
McCann's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
McCann
Goldy
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'4"
Height
5'4"
62"+
Reach
61"
36
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
McCann
Goldy
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.1
36.1
42.6
Performance Avg
40.4
38
Quality of Victory
54
71
Momentum Score
39
McCann
Goldy
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.2
2.0
48%
Strike Accuracy
37%
3.9
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.4
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
20
Head
5
3
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
19Distance6
2Clinch3
3Ground0
McCann
Goldy
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.5
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
1.4
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
1
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
McCann
Goldy
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
72
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
4
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/22 fights
Chin rating based on
5/10 fights
McCann
Goldy
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
71
39
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
McCann
Goldy
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
43%
100%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
1
4
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
McCann
Goldy
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.4
2.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
1.4
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.6
5.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.4
McCannGoldy
Strike Zones
McCann
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedGoldy
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯McCann targets the head (83% of attacks) — Goldy absorbs 83% of strikes there
🎯Goldy targets the head (56% of attacks) — McCann absorbs 56% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
McCann
RND
Goldy
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
McCann · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Goldy · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
McCann · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Alexia ThainaraRating 3.1Submission
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Goldy · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
MizukiRating 6.3Decision
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Molly McCannRating 2.2KO/TKO
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W · Sub · R1
Emily WhitmireRating 5Submission
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Diana BelbitaRating 5.5Decision
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