UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2
Natal, Brazil
23 Mar 2014
Flyweight
VS
51%
Formiga
49%
Jorgensen
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 3:07
JF
Jussier Formiga
23 – 8
5'5"67" reachOrthodox41 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 15
SJ
Scott Jorgensen
"Young Guns"
15 – 12
Well-Rounded3-fight slide43 yrsOrthodox66" reach5'5"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Formiga

This is a genuine toss-up — Formiga at 51% vs Jorgensen at 49% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Striking split: Jorgensen throws more volume but Formiga connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Formiga's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jorgensen has a chin rating of 14 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Formiga
Jorgensen
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'5"
Height
5'5"
67"+
Reach
66"
41+
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Formiga
Jorgensen
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
14.9
14.1
42.7
Performance Avg
37.9
34
Quality of Victory
41
64
Momentum Score
54
Formiga
Jorgensen
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.6
1.5
40%
Strike Accuracy
38%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.2
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
7
Head
5
2
Body
0
0
Leg
1
RangeRange
6Distance6
2Clinch0
1Ground0
Formiga
Jorgensen
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.2
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.2
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Formiga
Jorgensen
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
14
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
3
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/31 fights
Chin rating based on
12/27 fights
Formiga
Jorgensen
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
64
54
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
Formiga
Jorgensen
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
50%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
3
Submission Wins
1
6
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Formiga
Jorgensen
Striking1.1 / 3.2Volume6.5 / 4.7Grappling4.3 / 3.2Wrestling3.0 / 2.2Submission3.3 / 2.5Pressure4.0 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.2
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.2
3.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
4.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
6.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
Formiga
Strike Zones
Jorgensen
Formiga
Attacking
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 landed
Absorbing
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 absorbed
Jorgensen
Attacking
5HEAD0BODY1LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
7HEAD2BODY0LEGS9 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Formiga targets the head (78% of attacks) — Jorgensen absorbs 78% of strikes there
🎯Jorgensen targets the head (83% of attacks) — Formiga absorbs 83% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Formiga
RND
Jorgensen
0/0R00/0

Formiga · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W1.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W7.0L4.5W5.5L5.0W5.5W4.5W5.6W2.8L6.4L2.8L2012-102014-082017-032019-032020-06
WinLossTrend

Jorgensen · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.0
0105.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W3.4L5.5L1.5L4.5W1.5L5.5L2.8L2011-062012-062013-122014-102015-11
WinLossTrend

Formiga · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Alex PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC 250: Nunes vs. Spencer · 2020-06
L · Dec · R3
Brandon MorenoRating 6.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lee vs. Oliveira · 2020-03
L · KO · R2
Joseph BenavidezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ngannou vs. Dos Santos · 2019-06
W · Dec · R3
Deiveson FigueiredoRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Pettis · 2019-03
W · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 229: Khabib vs. McGregor · 2018-10

Jorgensen · Last 5

L · KO · R2
Alejandro PerezRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Magny vs Gastelum · 2015-11
L · Dec · R3
Manvel GamburyanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
L · Sub · R1
Wilson ReisRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 179: Aldo vs Mendes 2 · 2014-10
W · Dec · R3
Danny MartinezRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
L · Sub · R1
Jussier FormigaRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Shogun vs Henderson 2 · 2014-03

News & Media

Jussier Formiga · Scott Jorgensen
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