UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2
Boston, USA
28 Aug 2010
Lightweight
VS
94%
Lauzon
6%
Ruediger
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 2:01
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Lauzon
Lauzon is a strong favourite at 94% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 17 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Lauzon has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 49 points.
Lauzon has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Lauzon's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Ruediger has a chin rating of 44 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Lauzon
Ruediger
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"
Height
5'10"
71"
Reach
42+
Age
48
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Lauzon
Ruediger
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
1.2
51.5
Performance Avg
0.0
49
Quality of Victory
0
59
Momentum Score
0
Lauzon
Ruediger
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.3
0.3
43%
Strike Accuracy
17%
4.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
5 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
19
Head
1
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
3Distance1
1Clinch0
15Ground0
Lauzon
Ruediger
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.3
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.0
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
2.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Lauzon
Ruediger
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
44
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
KO risk
5
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.6 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
27/44 fights
Chin rating based on
3/26 fights
Lauzon
Ruediger
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
0
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Lauzon
Ruediger
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
80%
0%
5
KO / TKO Wins
0
7
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Lauzon
Ruediger
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
4.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
2.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
4.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
7.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
2.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
LauzonRuediger
Strike Zones
Lauzon
Attacking
19 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedRuediger
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
19 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Lauzon targets the head (100% of attacks) — Ruediger absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Ruediger targets the head (100% of attacks) — Lauzon absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Lauzon
RND
Ruediger
0/0R00/0
Lauzon · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Ruediger · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.4WinLossTrend
Lauzon · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jonathan PearceRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10
L · KO · R2
Chris GruetzemacherRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 223: Khabib vs. Iaquinta · 2018-04
L · KO · R1
Clay GuidaRating 2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Poirier vs. Pettis · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Stevie RayRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Swanson vs. Lobov · 2017-04
W · Dec · R3
Marcin HeldRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rodriguez vs. Penn · 2017-01
Ruediger · Last 3
L · KO · R2
Paul TaylorRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort · 2011-02
L · Sub · R1
Joe LauzonRating 1.5Submission
UFC 118: Edgar vs Penn 2 · 2010-08
L · KO · R2
Melvin GuillardRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 63: Hughes vs Penn · 2006-09