METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2009
Lightweight
VS
53%
Guillard
47%
Tibau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Melvin GuillardwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Gleison Tibau · The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guillard
→
Actual result
Guillard wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Guillard at 53% vs Tibau at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Guillard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Guillard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuillardTibau
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guillard
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guillard
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
15.4
49.7
Performance Avg
43.2
45
Quality of Victory
34
73
Momentum Score
74
Guillard
Tibau
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.6
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
35%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Guillard
Tibau
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
6
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Guillard
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
74
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Guillard
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
31%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guillard
Tibau
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
GuillardTibau
Strike Zones
Guillard
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedTibau
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tibau targets the head (100% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guillard
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0
Guillard · QOF Timeline
Avg: 3.9WinLossTrend
Tibau · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Guillard · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6Decision
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L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5Decision
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