The Ultimate Fighter: United States vs. United Kingdom Finale
Las Vegas, USA
20 Jun 2009
Lightweight
VS
53%
Guillard
47%
Tibau
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MG
Melvin Guillard
"The Young Assassin"
32 – 18
5'9"71" reachOrthodox43 yrsStriker
CFR 18
GT
Gleison Tibau
33 – 14
Well-Rounded4-fight slide42 yrsSouthpaw71" reach5'10"
CFR 15

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guillard

This is a genuine toss-up — Guillard at 53% vs Tibau at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Guillard has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.

Guillard has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Guillard's chin rating of 2 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Tibau has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Guillard
Tibau
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
71"
43
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guillard
Tibau
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.7
15.4
49.7
Performance Avg
43.2
45
Quality of Victory
34
73
Momentum Score
74
Guillard
Tibau
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.6
0.8
41%
Strike Accuracy
35%
7.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.8
7 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
6
1
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground4
Guillard
Tibau
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Guillard
Tibau
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
2
0
KO risk
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
6
Sub Losses
2
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/50 fights
Chin rating based on
28/47 fights
Guillard
Tibau
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
73
74
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · R1
L · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
Guillard
Tibau
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
58%
31%
7
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
4
5
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guillard
Tibau
Striking7.0 / 1.8Volume3.8 / 6.6Grappling0.8 / 3.6Wrestling0.6 / 2.5Submission0.0 / 2.5Pressure5.8 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
7.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.8
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
3.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.6
Guillard
Strike Zones
Tibau
Guillard
Attacking
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 absorbed
Tibau
Attacking
6HEAD0BODY0LEGS6 landed
Absorbing
1HEAD1BODY0LEGS2 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guillard targets the head (50% of attacks) — Tibau absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Tibau targets the head (100% of attacks) — Guillard absorbs 100% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guillard
RND
Tibau
0/0R00/0

Guillard · QOF Timeline

Avg: 3.9
0104.2W1.5L5.0W5.2W1.5L1.5L5.0W4.5W2.8L4.5W5.0W5.0W5.0W5.0W1.5L1.9L4.5W1.5L5.5L5.2W5.6L2005-112008-072011-012012-122014-03
WinLossTrend

Tibau · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.5
0102.8L4.5W5.0W4.5W5.5L2.8L5.0W5.0W5.5L4.5W5.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W4.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W2.8L4.5W4.5W4.5W2.0L4.0L3.5L5.5L2006-112009-042011-112014-072018-06
WinLossTrend

Guillard · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Michael JohnsonRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gustafsson vs Manuwa · 2014-03
Upcoming
Ross Pearson
UFC Fight Night: Machida vs Munoz · 2013-10
W · KO · R2
Mac DanzigRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs Moraga · 2013-07
L · Dec · R3
Jamie VarnerRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · KO · R1
Donald CerroneRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II · 2012-08

Tibau · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Desmond GreenRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Rivera vs. Moraes · 2018-06
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevRating 3.5
KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · R1
Abel TrujilloRating 4
UFC Fight Night: Belfort vs Henderson 3 · 2015-11
L · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 2
Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
W · Dec · R3
Norman ParkeRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01

News & Media

Melvin Guillard · Gleison Tibau
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