UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Flyweight
VS
42%
Royval
58%
Kape
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:18
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Kape
This is a genuine toss-up — Royval at 42% vs Kape at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 19 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kape has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 14 points.
Kape has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Royval's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Royval
Kape
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'5"
68"
Reach
68"
33
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Royval
Kape
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.3
69.6
48.2
Performance Avg
61.4
42
Quality of Victory
56
62
Momentum Score
89
Royval
Kape
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
2.2
43%
Strike Accuracy
59%
2.6
Striking Style Score (/10)
8.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
6
Body
5
6
Leg
6
RangeRange
17Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Royval
Kape
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.5
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.7
3.1
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Royval
Kape
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/29 fights
Royval
Kape
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
62
89
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Royval
Kape
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
57%
71%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Royval
Kape
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.6
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.5
4.5
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.7
3.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.5
4.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.8
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.1
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.7
RoyvalKape
Strike Zones
Royval
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedKape
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Royval targets the body (35% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 35% of strikes there
🎯Kape targets the head (35% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 35% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Royval
RND
Kape
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Royval · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Kape · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.8WinLossTrend
Royval · Last 5
Upcoming
Lone'er KavanaghUFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanRating 7.1Decision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoRating 5.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Kape · Last 5
Upcoming
Kyoji HoriguchiUFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalRating 5.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaRating 6.4KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevRating 6.9Decision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07