METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Las Vegas, USA
13 Dec 2025
Flyweight
VS
42%
Royval
58%
Kape
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 3:18
★ Official Result
Manel KapewinsKO/TKOR1 · 3:18
def. Brandon Royval · UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Kape
→
Actual result
Kape wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Royval at 42% vs Kape at 58% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 20 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Kape has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Royval's chin rating of 40 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
RoyvalKape
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Royval
Kape
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"+
Height
5'5"
68"
Reach
68"
34
Age
+32
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
Royval
Kape
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
52.7
72.8
50.5
Performance Avg
65.8
43
Quality of Victory
61
65
Momentum Score
89
Royval
Kape
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.5
/ 10
8.9
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
7.4
4.2
Style: Volume
3.5
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
6 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
5
Head
6
6
Body
5
6
Leg
6
RangeRange
17Distance15
0Clinch0
0Ground2
Royval
Kape
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.9
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
3.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.4
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Royval
Kape
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
40
94
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/26 fights
Chin rating based on
11/29 fights
Royval
Kape
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
65
89
Current form
4-fight 🔥 win streak
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Last 5
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Royval
Kape
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
63%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
6
4
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Royval
Kape
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.5
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
8.9
4.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.6
3.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.4
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.4
4.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.5
RoyvalKape
Strike Zones
Royval
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedKape
Attacking
17 landedAbsorbing
17 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Royval targets the body (35% of attacks) — Kape absorbs 35% of strikes there
🎯Kape targets the head (35% of attacks) — Royval absorbs 35% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Royval
RND
Kape
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Royval · Last 5
W · Sub · R3
Lone'er KavanaghSubmission
UFC 329: McGregor vs. Holloway 2 · 2026-07
L · KO · R1
Manel KapeKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Joshua VanDecision
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveira · 2025-06
W · Dec · R5
Tatsuro TairaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R5
Brandon MorenoDecision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Royval 2 · 2024-02
Kape · Last 5
W · KO · R3
Kyoji HoriguchiKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Horiguchi · 2026-06
W · KO · R1
Brandon RoyvalKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Kape · 2025-12
W · KO · R3
Asu AlmabayevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · KO · R3
Bruno SilvaKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Covington vs. Buckley · 2024-12
L · Dec · R3
Muhammad MokaevDecision
UFC 304: Edwards vs. Muhammad 2 · 2024-07