METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Las Vegas, USA
7 Mar 2026
Light Heavyweight
VS
8%
Fernandez
92%
Bellato
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 2:42
★ Official Result
Rodolfo BellatowinsKO/TKOR1 · 2:42
def. Luke Fernandez · UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Bellato
→
Actual result
Bellato wins
KO/TKO · R1
Pre-fight analysis
Bellato is a strong favourite at 92% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 64 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Bellato has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 58 points.
Striking split: Fernandez throws more volume but Bellato connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
FernandezBellato
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Fernandez
Bellato
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"
Height
+6'3"
76"+
Reach
75"
31
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Fernandez
Bellato
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
6.2
69.8
0.0
Performance Avg
61.2
0
Quality of Victory
58
0
Momentum Score
78
Fernandez
Bellato
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.4
3.9
49%
Strike Accuracy
64%
0.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
10.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
24
3
Body
4
1
Leg
2
RangeRange
9Distance9
7Clinch1
0Ground20
Fernandez
Bellato
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
🥊
Pure striking matchup
Neither fighter has significant grappling in their history
0
Submission wins
0
Fernandez
Bellato
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
78
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
1/7 fights
Chin rating based on
5/16 fights
Fernandez
Bellato
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
0
78
L · KO · R1
Last 5
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Upcoming
W · KO · R2
Fernandez
Bellato
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
100%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
0
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Fernandez
Bellato
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
10.0
0.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
0.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
0.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
9.0
0.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
1.3
FernandezBellato
Strike Zones
Fernandez
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
30 absorbedBellato
Attacking
30 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Fernandez targets the head (75% of attacks) — Bellato absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Bellato targets the head (80% of attacks) — Fernandez absorbs 80% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Fernandez
RND
Bellato
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Bellato · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.7WinLossTrend
Fernandez · Last 1
L · KO · R1
Rodolfo BellatoRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
Bellato · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Luke FernandezRating 5KO/TKO
UFC 326: Holloway vs. Oliveira 2 · 2026-03
L · Dec · R3
Navajo StirlingRating 7Decision
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