METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Welterweight
VS
52%
Chiesa
48%
Griffin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:56
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsSubmissionR3 · 1:56
def. Max Griffin · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 52% vs Griffin at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Griffin has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaGriffin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
+76"
38+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
46.4
53.3
Performance Avg
39.0
43
Quality of Victory
37
50
Momentum Score
74
Chiesa
Griffin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.7
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
45%
1.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
3 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Chiesa
Griffin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
5.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.5
4.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.1
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Chiesa
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Chiesa
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
74
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Chiesa
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
9
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
ChiesaGriffin
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Griffin · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.6WinLossTrend
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceRating 5.7Submission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonRating 5.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandRating 2.1Submission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaRating 6.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisRating 6.2Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaRating 4.8Submission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsRating 5.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesRating 7.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07