METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Las Vegas, USA
7 Dec 2024
Welterweight
VS
52%
Chiesa
48%
Griffin
Win Probability
Submission
Round 3 · 1:56
★ Official Result
Michael ChiesawinsSubmissionR3 · 1:56
def. Max Griffin · UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Chiesa
→
Actual result
Chiesa wins
Submission · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Chiesa at 52% vs Griffin at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Chiesa's chin rating of 36 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Griffin has a chin rating of 48 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ChiesaGriffin
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Chiesa
Griffin
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'1"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
+76"
38+
Age
40
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Chiesa
Griffin
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
50.7
46.4
53.3
Performance Avg
39.0
43
Quality of Victory
37
50
Momentum Score
74
Chiesa
Griffin
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.4
/ 10
4.6
/ 10
6.3
Style: Pressure
3.9
4.6
Style: Volume
5.8
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
3 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
2
Head
2
0
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
2Distance2
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Chiesa
Griffin
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.8
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
4.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
6.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
9
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Chiesa
Griffin
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
36
48
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
5
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/27 fights
Chin rating based on
19/33 fights
Chiesa
Griffin
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
74
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Chiesa
Griffin
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
38%
0
KO / TKO Wins
3
9
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
5
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Chiesa
Griffin
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.6
5.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
4.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
6.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
4.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.8
ChiesaGriffin
Strike Zones
Chiesa
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedGriffin
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Chiesa targets the head (100% of attacks) — Griffin absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Griffin targets the head (100% of attacks) — Chiesa absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Chiesa
RND
Griffin
0/0R00/0
Chiesa · Last 5
W · Sub · R1
Niko PriceSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Adesanya vs. Pyfer · 2026-03
W · Dec · R3
Court McGeeDecision
UFC Fight Night: Usman vs. Buckley · 2025-06
W · Sub · R3
Max GriffinSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Sub · R1
Tony FergusonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Nurmagomedov · 2024-08
L · Sub · R1
Kevin HollandSubmission
UFC 291: Poirier vs. Gaethje 2 · 2023-07
Griffin · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Victor ValenzuelaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
L · Dec · R3
Chris CurtisDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · Sub · R3
Michael ChiesaSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
W · Dec · R3
Jeremiah WellsDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer · 2024-02
L · Dec · R3
Michael MoralesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07