METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Heavyweight
VS
64%
Almeida
36%
Kuniev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rizvan KunievwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jailton Almeida · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almeida
→
Actual result
Kuniev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Almeida holds a meaningful edge at 64% per the CFR ratings — but Kuniev has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 30 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 28 points.
Almeida has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlmeidaKuniev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Almeida
Kuniev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
79"+
Reach
76"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Kuniev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
40.5
61.0
Performance Avg
35.0
53
Quality of Victory
25
100
Momentum Score
55
Almeida
Kuniev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
1.0
64%
Strike Accuracy
43%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
14
6
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance9
5Clinch7
0Ground0
Almeida
Kuniev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.3
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.0
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Almeida
Kuniev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
2/16 fights
Almeida
Kuniev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
55
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Almeida
Kuniev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
0%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Kuniev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
AlmeidaKuniev
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedKuniev
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kuniev absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Kuniev targets the head (88% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Kuniev
0/0R00/0
Almeida · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.4WinLossTrend
Kuniev · QOF Timeline
Avg: 6.3WinLossTrend
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievRating 5.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovRating 6.8Decision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovRating 5.8Submission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesRating 3.7KO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Kuniev · Last 2
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaRating 6.3Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesRating 6.4Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06