METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Las Vegas, USA
7 Feb 2026
Heavyweight
VS
55%
Almeida
45%
Kuniev
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Rizvan KunievwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Jailton Almeida · UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Almeida
→
Actual result
Kuniev wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Almeida at 55% vs Kuniev at 45% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 14 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Almeida has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
AlmeidaKuniev
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Almeida
Kuniev
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
+6'4"
79"+
Reach
76"
35
Age
+34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Almeida
Kuniev
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
70.9
57.1
61.0
Performance Avg
49.2
53
Quality of Victory
38
100
Momentum Score
75
Almeida
Kuniev
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
6.3
/ 10
8.3
Style: Pressure
5.5
2.5
Style: Volume
5.3
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
12
Head
14
6
Body
2
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
13Distance9
5Clinch7
0Ground0
Almeida
Kuniev
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.3
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
3.0
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
4
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Almeida
Kuniev
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
74
98
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
11/27 fights
Chin rating based on
4/16 fights
Almeida
Kuniev
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
75
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
Last 5
Upcoming
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Almeida
Kuniev
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
88%
50%
3
KO / TKO Wins
1
4
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Almeida
Kuniev
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.3
4.3
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
3.0
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
8.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.5
2.5
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.3
AlmeidaKuniev
Strike Zones
Almeida
Attacking
18 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedKuniev
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
18 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Almeida targets the head (67% of attacks) — Kuniev absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Kuniev targets the head (88% of attacks) — Almeida absorbs 88% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Almeida
RND
Kuniev
0/0R00/0
Almeida · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Rizvan KunievDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Alexander VolkovDecision
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · KO · R1
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · Sub · R1
Alexandr RomanovSubmission
UFC 302: Makhachev vs. Poirier · 2024-06
L · KO · R2
Curtis BlaydesKO/TKO
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
Kuniev · Last 4
Upcoming
Alexander VolkovUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · KO · R3
Tyrell FortuneKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
W · Dec · R3
Jailton AlmeidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Bautista vs. Oliveira · 2026-02
L · Dec · R3
Curtis BlaydesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Hill vs. Rountree Jr. · 2025-06