METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Sacramento, USA
14 Dec 2013
Lightweight
VS
28%
Castillo
72%
Barboza
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Edson BarbozawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Danny Castillo · UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Benavidez 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Barboza
→
Actual result
Barboza wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Barboza is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 27 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Castillo's chin rating of 46 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Barboza has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
CastilloBarboza
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Castillo
Barboza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'11"
71"
Reach
+75"
47
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Castillo
Barboza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.2
44.6
40.6
Performance Avg
45.7
34
Quality of Victory
40
89
Momentum Score
60
Castillo
Barboza
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.9
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
3.5
Style: Pressure
5.1
6.7
Style: Volume
5.1
2 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
9 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
4
0
Body
5
1
Leg
7
RangeRange
9Distance16
0Clinch0
0Ground0
Castillo
Barboza
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.7
/ 10
1.2
/ 10
1.2
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Castillo
Barboza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
46
0
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
5
0
Sub Losses
2
Avg R2.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.6 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/27 fights
Chin rating based on
33/38 fights
Castillo
Barboza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
89
60
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
4-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R2
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
Castillo
Barboza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
29%
50%
2
KO / TKO Wins
9
0
Submission Wins
0
5
Decision Wins
9
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Castillo
Barboza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.9
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
6.1
1.7
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.2
1.2
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.1
6.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.1
CastilloBarboza
Strike Zones
Castillo
Attacking
9 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedBarboza
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
9 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Castillo targets the head (89% of attacks) — Barboza absorbs 89% of strikes there
🎯Barboza targets the legs (44% of attacks) — Castillo absorbs 44% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Castillo
RND
Barboza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Castillo · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Nik LentzDecision
UFC on FOX: Dos Anjos vs. Cowboy 2 · 2015-12
L · Dec · R3
Jim MillerDecision
UFC on FOX: Dillashaw vs. Barao II · 2015-07
L · KO · R2
Paul FelderKO/TKO
UFC 182: Jones vs Cormier · 2015-01
L · Dec · R3
Tony FergusonDecision
UFC 177: Dillashaw vs Soto · 2014-08
W · KO · R2
Charlie BrennemanKO/TKO
UFC 172: Jones vs Teixeira · 2014-04
Barboza · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Esteban RibovicsKO/TKO
UFC 330: Makhachev vs. Machado Garry · 2026-08
L · KO · R1
Jalin TurnerKO/TKO
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
L · Dec · R3
Drakkar KloseDecision
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
L · Dec · R5
Lerone MurphyDecision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Murphy · 2024-05
W · Dec · R5
Sodiq YusuffDecision
UFC Fight Night: Yusuff vs. Barboza · 2023-10