METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Los Angeles, USA
29 Dec 2018
Featherweight
VS
25%
Mendes
75%
Volkanovski
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 4:14
CFR 64
★ Official Result
Alexander VolkanovskiwinsKO/TKOR2 · 4:14
def. Chad Mendes · UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Volkanovski
→
Actual result
Volkanovski wins
KO/TKO · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Volkanovski is a strong favourite at 75% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 43 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Volkanovski has a chin rating of 54 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MendesVolkanovski
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Mendes
Volkanovski
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
5'6"
66"
Reach
+71"
41
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Volkanovski
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
64.0
54.7
Performance Avg
59.8
48
Quality of Victory
44
100
Momentum Score
100
Mendes
Volkanovski
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.0
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
6.6
Style: Pressure
4.8
4.0
Style: Volume
7.0
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
9
Head
29
3
Body
6
1
Leg
3
RangeRange
10Distance30
3Clinch5
0Ground3
Mendes
Volkanovski
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
0.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Mendes
Volkanovski
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
54
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
4
KO/TKO Losses
2
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.5 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
19/32 fights
Mendes
Volkanovski
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
100
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Dec · R5
W · Dec · R5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
Mendes
Volkanovski
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
33%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
10
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendes
Volkanovski
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
MendesVolkanovski
Strike Zones
Mendes
Attacking
13 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedVolkanovski
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
13 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (69% of attacks) — Volkanovski absorbs 69% of strikes there
🎯Volkanovski targets the head (76% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 76% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendes
RND
Volkanovski
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiKO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarKO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorKO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Volkanovski · Last 5
Upcoming
Movsar EvloevUFC 333: Volkanovski vs. Evloev · 2026-10
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Dec · R5
Diego LopesDecision
UFC 314: Volkanovski vs. Lopes · 2025-04
L · KO · R2
Ilia TopuriaKO/TKO
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · KO · R1
Islam MakhachevKO/TKO
UFC 294: Makhachev vs. Volkanovski 2 · 2023-10