UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Welterweight
VS
37%
Spencer
63%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SS
Sean Spencer
"Black Magic"
12 – 6
5'10"74" reachOrthodox38 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
AG
Alex Garcia
"The Dominican Nightmare"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide38 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 17

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garcia

Garcia holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Spencer has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Spencer has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Spencer's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Spencer
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
38
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spencer
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.8
16.6
30.0
Performance Avg
46.3
25
Quality of Victory
44
25
Momentum Score
40
Spencer
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
0.7
38%
Strike Accuracy
32%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.0
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
12
3
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance13
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Spencer
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spencer
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Spencer
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Spencer
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Spencer
Garcia
Striking0.8 / 5.0Volume8.8 / 4.2Grappling2.4 / 2.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure1.1 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Spencer
Strike Zones
Garcia
Spencer
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY4LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY4LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Spencer targets the head (67% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (92% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Spencer
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Spencer · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0104.0L4.5W5.7W5.5L4.5W5.5L4.0L2.8L2013-012013-112014-092016-022016-09
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0105.0W4.5W6.1L4.5W5.1L5.0W5.6L6.2W5.5L5.7L2013-122015-072017-062018-10
WinLossTrend

Spencer · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Yancy MedeirosRating 2.8
Submission
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R3
Mike PyleRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Cathal PendredRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Paulo ThiagoRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex GarciaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGeeRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlareRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Muslim SalikhovRating 6.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tim MeansRating 5.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Mike PyleRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

News & Media

Sean Spencer · Alex Garcia
← Back to fights