METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler
Dallas, USA
15 Mar 2014
Welterweight
VS
37%
Spencer
63%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
SS
Sean Spencer
"Black Magic"
12 – 6
5'10"74" reachOrthodox39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
AG
Alex Garcia
"The Dominican Nightmare"
15 – 6
Well-Rounded2-fight slide39 yrsOrthodox72" reach5'9"
CFR 17
★ Official Result
Alex GarciawinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Sean Spencer · UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garcia
→
Actual result
Garcia wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

Garcia holds a meaningful edge at 63% per the CFR ratings — but Spencer has real paths to victory.

Key angles

Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 19 points.

Risk flags

Spencer's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
SpencerGarcia
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Spencer
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
74"+
Reach
72"
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Spencer
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
9.8
16.6
30.0
Performance Avg
46.3
25
Quality of Victory
44
25
Momentum Score
40
Spencer
Garcia
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
5.0
/ 10
1.1
Style: Pressure
5.7
8.8
Style: Volume
4.2
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
14
Head
12
3
Body
0
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
18Distance13
3Clinch0
0Ground0
Spencer
Garcia
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
2.6
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.8
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Spencer
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
70
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
1
KO/TKO Losses
1
2
Sub Losses
0
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
5 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/18 fights
Chin rating based on
10/21 fights
Spencer
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
40
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
Spencer
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
60%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Spencer
Garcia
Striking0.8 / 5.0Volume8.8 / 4.2Grappling2.4 / 2.6Wrestling1.7 / 1.8Submission0.0 / 2.0Pressure1.1 / 5.7
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.0
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.6
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
5.7
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Spencer
Strike Zones
Garcia
Spencer
Attacking
14HEAD3BODY4LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
12HEAD0BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD3BODY4LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Spencer targets the head (67% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 67% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (92% of attacks) — Spencer absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Spencer
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Spencer · Last 5

L · Sub · R2
Yancy Medeiros
Submission
UFC 203: Miocic vs. Overeem · 2016-09
L · KO · R3
Mike Pyle
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Hendricks vs Thompson · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Cathal Pendred
Decision
UFC Fight Night: McGregor vs Siver · 2015-01
W · Dec · R3
Paulo Thiago
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bigfoot vs Arlovski · 2014-09
L · Dec · R3
Alex Garcia
Decision
UFC 171: Hendricks vs Lawler · 2014-03

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Court McGee
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Oezdemir vs. Smith · 2018-10
L · Dec · R3
Ryan LaFlare
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Barboza vs. Lee · 2018-04
W · Sub · R2
Muslim Salikhov
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs. Gastelum · 2017-11
L · Dec · R3
Tim Means
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · KO · R1
Mike Pyle
KO/TKO
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12

News & Media

Sean Spencer · Alex Garcia
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