UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
East Rutherford, USA
5 May 2012
Welterweight
VS
49%
Koscheck
51%
Hendricks
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Hendricks
This is a genuine toss-up — Koscheck at 49% vs Hendricks at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Striking split: Koscheck throws more volume but Hendricks connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Koscheck's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Hendricks has a chin rating of 24 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Koscheck
Hendricks
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'9"
73"+
Reach
69"
48
Age
+42
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Koscheck
Hendricks
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.9
17.8
50.5
Performance Avg
48.2
44
Quality of Victory
39
59
Momentum Score
80
Koscheck
Hendricks
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
0.9
39%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
6 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
14
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
5Distance10
1Clinch4
8Ground0
Koscheck
Hendricks
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.6
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
1.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
2.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Koscheck
Hendricks
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
24
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
3
KO/TKO Losses
3
3
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.7 stoppage
2 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
25/28 fights
Chin rating based on
21/26 fights
Koscheck
Hendricks
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
59
80
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Sub · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Koscheck
Hendricks
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
60%
39%
6
KO / TKO Wins
5
3
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Koscheck
Hendricks
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.5
1.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
2.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
6.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.2
KoscheckHendricks
Strike Zones
Koscheck
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedHendricks
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Koscheck targets the head (57% of attacks) — Hendricks absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Hendricks targets the head (100% of attacks) — Koscheck absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Koscheck
RND
Hendricks
0/0R00/0
Koscheck · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Hendricks · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.7WinLossTrend
Koscheck · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Erick SilvaRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Maia vs LaFlare · 2015-03
L · Sub · R2
Jake EllenbergerRating 2.8Submission
UFC 184: Rousey vs Zingano · 2015-02
L · KO · R1
Tyron WoodleyRating 1.5KO/TKO
UFC 167: St-Pierre vs Hendricks · 2013-11
L · KO · R1
Robbie LawlerRating 1.8KO/TKO
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
L · Dec · R3
Johny HendricksRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller · 2012-05
Hendricks · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Paulo CostaRating 3.8KO/TKO
UFC 217: Bisping vs. St-Pierre · 2017-11
L · KO · R2
Tim BoetschRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Chiesa vs. Lee · 2017-06
W · Dec · R3
Hector LombardRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Browne · 2017-02
L · Dec · R3
Neil MagnyRating 6.1Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Kelvin GastelumRating 5.8Decision
UFC 200: Tate vs Nunes · 2016-07