METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
New Orleans, USA
19 Jul 2025
Women's Flyweight
VS
61%
Judice
39%
Caliari
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 1:30
★ Official Result
Carli JudicewinsKO/TKOR3 · 1:30
def. Nicolle Caliari · UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Judice
→
Actual result
Judice wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Judice holds a meaningful edge at 61% per the CFR ratings — but Caliari has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 25 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
JudiceCaliari
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Judice
Caliari
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'7"+
Height
5'3"
68"+
Reach
62"
27+
Age
29
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Judice
Caliari
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.6
46.7
61.2
Performance Avg
40.3
49
Quality of Victory
45
100
Momentum Score
35
Judice
Caliari
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
9.1
/ 10
0.7
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
8.0
3.6
Style: Volume
0.7
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
5
6
Body
0
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
18Distance5
4Clinch0
2Ground0
Judice
Caliari
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.6
/ 10
8.0
/ 10
0.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
5.6
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
10.0
0
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Judice
Caliari
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
98
76
Never stopped
Verdict
Moderate
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
5/8 fights
Chin rating based on
3/13 fights
Judice
Caliari
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
35
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Sub · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Dec · R3
Judice
Caliari
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
75%
100%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
1
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Judice
Caliari
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
8.0
0.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
5.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
10.0
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
8.0
3.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.7
JudiceCaliari
Strike Zones
Judice
Attacking
24 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedCaliari
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
24 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Judice targets the head (75% of attacks) — Caliari absorbs 75% of strikes there
🎯Caliari targets the head (100% of attacks) — Judice absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Judice
RND
Caliari
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Judice · Last 5
W · KO · R1
Jeisla ChavesKO/TKO
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W · Dec · R3
Juliana MillerDecision
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W · KO · R3
Nicolle CaliariKO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
W · KO · R1
Yuneisy DubenKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Dolidze 2 · 2025-03
L · Dec · R3
Gabriella FernandesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Perez vs. Taira · 2024-06
Caliari · Last 3
W · Sub · R3
Shauna BannonSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Allen vs. Costa · 2026-05
L · KO · R3
Carli JudiceKO/TKO
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier 3 · 2025-07
L · Dec · R3
Ernesta KareckaiteDecision
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