UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Bantamweight
VS
30%
Delorme
70%
Caceres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
RD
Roland Delorme
9 – 5
5'9"71" reachOrthodox42 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 17
Alex
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
21 – 15
Well-Rounded2-fight slide37 yrsSouthpaw73" reach5'10"
CFR 40

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Caceres

Caceres is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Caceres has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Delorme
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Delorme
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
39.7
44.8
Performance Avg
42.2
41
Quality of Victory
34
48
Momentum Score
76
Delorme
Caceres
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.7
40%
Strike Accuracy
50%
1.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.7
0 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
27
6
Body
4
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
12Distance34
2Clinch3
0Ground1
Delorme
Caceres
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.5
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
6.1
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.5
4.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.5
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Delorme
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Delorme
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Delorme
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
11

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Delorme
Caceres
Striking1.0 / 1.7Volume3.7 / 6.1Grappling6.1 / 3.5Wrestling4.3 / 2.5Submission6.7 / 2.5Pressure6.2 / 3.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
Delorme
Strike Zones
Caceres
Delorme
Attacking
6HEAD6BODY2LEGS14 landed
Absorbing
27HEAD4BODY7LEGS38 absorbed
Caceres
Attacking
27HEAD4BODY7LEGS38 landed
Absorbing
6HEAD6BODY2LEGS14 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Delorme targets the head (43% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (71% of attacks) — Delorme absorbs 71% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Delorme
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Delorme · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.6
0105.5W5.0W4.5W5.7L5.5L1.5L2011-122012-052013-062013-092014-062014-08
WinLossTrend

Caceres · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L2.8L4.5W5.5L5.2W4.5W4.5W5.5W4.0L5.5L1.5L4.5W4.5W7.1L2.8L4.2W5.5L4.5W2.3L4.5W5.3W5.0W4.5W5.4W6.3L5.2W5.4W6.5L6.6L2011-032014-072017-112022-032024-05
WinLossTrend

Delorme · Last 5

L · Sub · R1
Yuta SasakiRating 1.5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Le · 2014-08
L · Dec · R3
Michinori TanakaRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 174: Johnson vs Bagautinov · 2014-06
L · Dec · R3
Alex CaceresRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson · 2013-09
W · Dec · R3
Edwin FigueroaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 161: Evans vs Henderson · 2013-06
Upcoming
Francisco Rivera
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao · 2012-07

Caceres · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Sean WoodsonRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Nascimento · 2024-05
L · Dec · R3
Giga ChikadzeRating 6.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. The Korean Zombie · 2023-08
W · Dec · R3
Daniel PinedaRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kara-France vs. Albazi · 2023-06
W · KO · R1
Julian ErosaRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Strickland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Sodiq YusuffRating 6.3
Decision
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News & Media

Roland Delorme · Alex Caceres
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