METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Toronto, Canada
21 Sept 2013
Bantamweight
VS
30%
Delorme
70%
Caceres
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Alex CacereswinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Roland Delorme · UFC 165: Jones vs Gustafsson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Caceres
→
Actual result
Caceres wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Caceres is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Caceres has a chin rating of 4 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
DelormeCaceres
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Delorme
Caceres
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
+5'10"
71"
Reach
+73"
42
Age
+38
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Delorme
Caceres
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
17.4
39.7
44.8
Performance Avg
42.2
41
Quality of Victory
34
48
Momentum Score
76
Delorme
Caceres
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.0
/ 10
1.7
/ 10
6.2
Style: Pressure
3.8
3.7
Style: Volume
6.1
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
1 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
6
Head
27
6
Body
4
2
Leg
7
RangeRange
12Distance34
2Clinch3
0Ground1
Delorme
Caceres
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
3.5
/ 10
4.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.5
6.7
Submission Style (/10)
2.5
2
Submission wins
4
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Delorme
Caceres
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
84
4
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
1
1
Sub Losses
5
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
18 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/14 fights
Chin rating based on
30/36 fights
Delorme
Caceres
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
76
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
Delorme
Caceres
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
31%
0
KO / TKO Wins
1
2
Submission Wins
4
1
Decision Wins
11
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Delorme
Caceres
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.7
6.1
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.5
4.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.5
6.7
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.5
6.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.8
3.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
6.1
DelormeCaceres
Strike Zones
Delorme
Attacking
14 landedAbsorbing
38 absorbedCaceres
Attacking
38 landedAbsorbing
14 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Delorme targets the head (43% of attacks) — Caceres absorbs 43% of strikes there
🎯Caceres targets the head (71% of attacks) — Delorme absorbs 71% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Delorme
RND
Caceres
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
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