UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Gold Coast, Australia
14 Dec 2012
Featherweight
VS
62%
Mendes
38%
Meza
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 1 · 1:55
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Mendes
Mendes holds a meaningful edge at 62% per the CFR ratings — but Meza has real paths to victory.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 8 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Mendes has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 11 points.
Mendes has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Mendes's chin rating of 10 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Mendes
Meza
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'6"
Height
+5'9"
66"
Reach
+71"
41+
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Mendes
Meza
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
21.1
13.2
54.7
Performance Avg
35.7
48
Quality of Victory
37
100
Momentum Score
26
Mendes
Meza
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.5
0.3
57%
Strike Accuracy
37%
8.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.7
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
4
Head
0
2
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance2
0Clinch0
2Ground0
Mendes
Meza
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.2
0.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
5.2
0.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
3.6
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Mendes
Meza
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
10
72
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Moderate
4
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
6 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
14/23 fights
Chin rating based on
7/32 fights
Mendes
Meza
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
26
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Upcoming
Mendes
Meza
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
67%
50%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Mendes
Meza
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.7
0.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
5.2
0.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
3.6
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
5.0
6.6
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
4.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.7
MendesMeza
Strike Zones
Mendes
Attacking
10 landedAbsorbing
2 absorbedMeza
Attacking
2 landedAbsorbing
10 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Mendes targets the head (40% of attacks) — Meza absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Meza targets the body (50% of attacks) — Mendes absorbs 50% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Mendes
RND
Meza
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Mendes · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Meza · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Mendes · Last 5
L · KO · R2
Alexander VolkanovskiRating 4.2KO/TKO
UFC 232: Jones vs. Gustafsson 2 · 2018-12
W · KO · R1
Myles JuryRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Santos vs. Ivanov · 2018-07
L · KO · R1
Frankie EdgarRating 1.5KO/TKO
The Ultimate Fighter: Team McGregor vs. Team Faber Finale · 2015-12
L · KO · R2
Conor McGregorRating 4.1KO/TKO
UFC 189: Mendes vs McGregor · 2015-07
W · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Mendes vs Lamas · 2015-04
Meza · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Arnold AllenRating 6.9Decision
UFC Fight Night: Silva vs Bisping · 2016-02
L · Dec · R3
Sam SiciliaRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Mir vs Duffee · 2015-07
W · Dec · R3
Damian StasiakRating 4.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Gonzaga vs Cro Cop 2 · 2015-04
L · Dec · R3
Sergio PettisRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Henderson vs Khabilov · 2014-06
Upcoming
Chico CamusUFC on FOX: Henderson vs Thomson · 2014-01