UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3
Las Vegas, USA
4 Feb 2006
Light Heavyweight
VS
83%
Jardine
17%
Whitehead
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
KJ
Keith Jardine
"The Dean of Mean"
17 – 11
6'2"76" reachOrthodox50 yrs4-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 13
MW
Mike Whitehead
27 – 8
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox6'1"
CFR 3

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Jardine

Jardine is a strong favourite at 83% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 11 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Jardine has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 36 points.

Striking split: Jardine throws more volume but Whitehead connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Jardine's chin rating of 6 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Jardine
Whitehead
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'1"
76"
Reach
50
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Jardine
Whitehead
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.3
2.7
40.0
Performance Avg
0.0
36
Quality of Victory
0
48
Momentum Score
0
Jardine
Whitehead
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.8
1.1
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
4.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
2 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
22
Head
10
1
Body
6
3
Leg
1
RangeRange
22Distance14
4Clinch1
0Ground2
Jardine
Whitehead
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
1.6
/ 10
0.0
/ 10
1.1
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Jardine
Whitehead
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
6
98
2 consec. KOs
Verdict
Never stopped
4
KO/TKO Losses
0
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/28 fights
Chin rating based on
1/35 fights
Jardine
Whitehead
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
0
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Jardine
Whitehead
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
33%
0%
2
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
0

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Jardine
Whitehead
Striking4.3 / 0.0Volume6.3 / 0.0Grappling1.6 / 0.0Wrestling1.1 / 0.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure3.7 / 0.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
4.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
1.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.1
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
3.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
6.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
Jardine
Strike Zones
Whitehead
Jardine
Attacking
22HEAD1BODY3LEGS26 landed
Absorbing
10HEAD6BODY1LEGS17 absorbed
Whitehead
Attacking
10HEAD6BODY1LEGS17 landed
Absorbing
22HEAD1BODY3LEGS26 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Jardine targets the head (85% of attacks) — Whitehead absorbs 85% of strikes there
🎯Whitehead targets the head (59% of attacks) — Jardine absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Jardine
RND
Whitehead
0/0R00/0

Jardine · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.1
0105.2W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.0W1.5L4.5W1.5L4.5W5.5L1.5L4.0L5.5L2005-112006-122008-102010-06
WinLossTrend

Jardine · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Matt HamillRating 5.5
Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Liddell vs Team Ortiz Finale · 2010-06
L · KO · R3
Ryan BaderRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez · 2010-02
L · KO · R1
Thiago SilvaRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC 102: Couture vs Nogueira · 2009-08
L · Dec · R3
Quinton JacksonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 96: Jackson vs Jardine · 2009-03
W · Dec · R3
Brandon VeraRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 89: Bisping vs Leben · 2008-10

Whitehead · Last 1

L · Dec · R3
Keith JardineRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 57: Liddell vs Couture 3 · 2006-02

News & Media

Keith Jardine · Mike Whitehead
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