UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
Montreal, Canada
17 Nov 2012
Lightweight
VS
30%
Bocek
70%
Anjos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
MB
Mark Bocek
12 – 5
5'8"75" reachOrthodox44 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 17
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anjos

Anjos is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 22 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Anjos has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Bocek's chin rating of 60 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Bocek
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'8"
Height
5'8"
75"+
Reach
70"
44
Age
+41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Bocek
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.8
38.8
47.6
Performance Avg
47.7
38
Quality of Victory
41
48
Momentum Score
49
Bocek
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.0
41%
Strike Accuracy
47%
1.2
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
8
1
Body
7
1
Leg
4
RangeRange
5Distance13
0Clinch6
0Ground0
Bocek
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
3.3
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.3
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Bocek
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
60
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
12 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
13/17 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Bocek
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
48
49
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Bocek
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
4
Submission Wins
5
4
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Bocek
Anjos
Striking1.2 / 3.1Volume5.2 / 5.7Grappling5.2 / 3.3Wrestling3.6 / 2.3Submission5.0 / 2.4Pressure5.3 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.2
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
5.2
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Bocek
Strike Zones
Anjos
Bocek
Attacking
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 landed
Absorbing
8HEAD7BODY4LEGS19 absorbed
Anjos
Attacking
8HEAD7BODY4LEGS19 landed
Absorbing
3HEAD1BODY1LEGS5 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Bocek targets the head (60% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 60% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the head (42% of attacks) — Bocek absorbs 42% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Bocek
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0

Bocek · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.7
0101.5L4.5W4.0L5.5W5.0W5.0W5.9L5.0W5.5L4.5W4.5W5.7L4.5W2007-072009-042011-042014-04
WinLossTrend

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Bocek · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Mike de la TorreRating 4.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Bisping vs Kennedy · 2014-04
L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit · 2012-11
W · Dec · R3
John AlessioRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans · 2012-04
W · Dec · R3
Nik LentzRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida · 2011-12
L · Dec · R3
Benson HendersonRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields · 2011-04

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

News & Media

Mark Bocek · Rafael Dos Anjos
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