UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Winnipeg, Canada
18 Apr 2026
Lightweight
VS
46%
Moises
54%
Young
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Thiago
Thiago Moises
19 – 10
5'9"70" reachOrthodox31 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Gauge
Gauge Young
"Gee Money"
11 – 3
Well-Rounded2-fight win streak25 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 47

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Young

This is a genuine toss-up — Moises at 46% vs Young at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Moises has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Young has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Moises's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Moises
Young
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
31
Age
+25
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moises
Young
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
46.6
42.7
Performance Avg
41.7
38
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
67
Moises
Young
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.9
3.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
41
0
Body
15
2
Leg
13
RangeRange
22Distance62
1Clinch1
0Ground6
Moises
Young
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moises
Young
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Moises
Young
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
67
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moises
Young
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moises
Young
Striking2.3 / 1.3Volume5.0 / 9.3Grappling4.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.9 / 1.7Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 2.0
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
Moises
Strike Zones
Young
Moises
Attacking
21HEAD0BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
41HEAD15BODY13LEGS69 absorbed
Young
Attacking
41HEAD15BODY13LEGS69 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD0BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moises targets the head (91% of attacks) — Young absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Young targets the head (59% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moises
RND
Young
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Moises · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0106.5L4.5W5.5L5.3W5.2W5.4W5.3L2.8L5.2W6.5W4.5L5.5W6.7L4.6W1.9L6.1L2018-112020-102022-062024-062026-04
WinLossTrend

Young · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0106.1L4.8W4.7W2025-042025-082026-04
WinLossTrend

Moises · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Jared GordonRating 1.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 4.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Mitch RamirezRating 5.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

Young · Last 3

W · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan ElderRating 6.1
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

News & Media

Thiago Moises · Gauge Young
← Back to fights