METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Winnipeg, Canada
18 Apr 2026
Lightweight
VS
46%
Moises
54%
Young
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Gauge YoungwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thiago Moises · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Young
→
Actual result
Young wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Moises at 46% vs Young at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Moises has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Young has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Moises's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
MoisesYoung
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Moises
Young
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
31
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moises
Young
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
46.6
42.7
Performance Avg
41.7
38
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
67
Moises
Young
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.9
3.1
44%
Strike Accuracy
54%
2.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.3
1 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
41
0
Body
15
2
Leg
13
RangeRange
22Distance62
1Clinch1
0Ground6
Moises
Young
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
—
—
0.1
Sub Attempts / fight
—
4.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
2.9
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Moises
Young
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
3/14 fights
Moises
Young
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
67
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 🔥 win streak
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moises
Young
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Moises
Young
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.3
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
2.0
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.3
MoisesYoung
Strike Zones
Moises
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
69 absorbedYoung
Attacking
69 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Moises targets the head (91% of attacks) — Young absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Young targets the head (59% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 59% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Moises
RND
Young
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Moises · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.1WinLossTrend
Young · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Moises · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gauge YoungRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Jared GordonRating 1.9KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trey OgdenRating 4.6Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit KleinRating 6.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Mitch RamirezRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03
Young · Last 3
W · Dec · R3
Thiago MoisesRating 4.7Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
MaheshateRating 4.8Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan ElderRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04