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UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott
Winnipeg, Canada
18 Apr 2026
Lightweight
VS
50%
Moises
50%
Young
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Thiago
Thiago Moises
1910
5'9"70" reachOrthodox31 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 40
Gauge
Gauge Young
"Gee Money"
113
Well-Rounded26 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'9"
CFR 39
★ Official Result
Gauge YoungwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Thiago Moises · UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Moises
Actual result
Young wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Moises at 50% vs Young at 50% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Moises has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Risk flags

Moises's chin rating of 14 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout
MoisesYoung
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
Strike Accuracy
Moises
Young
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
70"
Reach
70"
31
Age
+26
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Moises
Young
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
39.7
39.4
42.7
Performance Avg
35.0
38
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
50
Moises
Young
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.3
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.0
Style: Pressure
1.5
5.0
Style: Volume
9.0
1 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
21
Head
41
0
Body
15
2
Leg
13
RangeRange
22Distance62
1Clinch1
0Ground6
Moises
Young
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
2.9
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
3.8
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
3
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Moises
Young
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
14
96
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
3
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.3 stoppage
KO round context
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Strikes absorbed / min
16/29 fights
Chin rating based on
4/14 fights
Moises
Young
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
50
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Moises
Young
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
1
KO / TKO Wins
0
3
Submission Wins
0
4
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Moises
Young
Striking2.3 / 1.0Volume5.0 / 9.0Grappling4.2 / 2.4Wrestling2.9 / 1.7Submission3.8 / 0.0Pressure5.0 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
2.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
4.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
2.9
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
3.8
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.0
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Moises
Strike Zones
Young
Moises
Attacking
21HEAD0BODY2LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
41HEAD15BODY13LEGS69 absorbed
Young
Attacking
41HEAD15BODY13LEGS69 landed
Absorbing
21HEAD0BODY2LEGS23 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Moises targets the head (91% of attacks) — Young absorbs 91% of strikes there
🎯Young targets the head (59% of attacks) — Moises absorbs 59% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Moises
RND
Young
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0

Moises · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gauge Young
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
L · KO · R1
Jared Gordon
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Morales · 2025-05
W · Dec · R3
Trey Ogden
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Dern vs. Ribas 2 · 2025-01
L · Dec · R3
Ludovit Klein
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Cannonier vs. Imavov · 2024-06
W · KO · R3
Mitch Ramirez
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Tuivasa vs. Tybura · 2024-03

Young · Last 4

L · Dec · R3
Stan Dorsainvil
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Hernandez vs. Rodrigues · 2026-08
W · Dec · R3
Thiago Moises
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Burns vs. Malott · 2026-04
W · Dec · R3
Maheshate
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Walker vs. Zhang · 2025-08
L · Dec · R3
Evan Elder
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Machado Garry vs. Prates · 2025-04

News & Media

Thiago Moises · Gauge Young
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