METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Heavyweight
VS
49%
Ivanov
51%
Sakai
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Augusto SakaiwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Blagoy Ivanov · UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Sakai
→
Actual result
Sakai wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Ivanov at 49% vs Sakai at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Sakai has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.
Risk flags
Sakai has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
IvanovSakai
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Ivanov
Sakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ivanov
Sakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.2
28.5
30.0
Performance Avg
44.4
25
Quality of Victory
37
50
Momentum Score
100
Ivanov
Sakai
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.8
/ 10
5.1
/ 10
1.1
Style: Pressure
4.5
8.8
Style: Volume
5.9
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
2 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
14
3
Body
15
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance29
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Ivanov
Sakai
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ivanov
Sakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
12
Never stopped
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Ivanov
Sakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Ivanov
Sakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Ivanov
Sakai
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
IvanovSakai
Strike Zones
Ivanov
Attacking
21 landedAbsorbing
32 absorbedSakai
Attacking
32 landedAbsorbing
21 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Ivanov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Sakai targets the body (47% of attacks) — Ivanov absorbs 47% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Ivanov
RND
Sakai
0/0R00/0
Ivanov · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovDecision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaDecision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Augusto SakaiDecision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisDecision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11
Sakai · Last 5
W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesDecision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaKO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09