UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns
Las Vegas, USA
30 May 2020
Heavyweight
VS
41%
Ivanov
59%
Sakai
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
BI
Blagoy Ivanov
"Baga"
19 – 6
5'11"73" reachSouthpaw39 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 27
AS
Augusto Sakai
16 – 5
Well-Rounded35 yrsOrthodox77" reach6'3"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Sakai

This is a genuine toss-up — Ivanov at 41% vs Sakai at 59% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 12 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Sakai has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 12 points.

Sakai has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Sakai has a chin rating of 12 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Ivanov
Sakai
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
+6'3"
73"
Reach
+77"
39
Age
+35
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Ivanov
Sakai
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
27.2
38.9
30.0
Performance Avg
44.4
25
Quality of Victory
37
50
Momentum Score
100
Ivanov
Sakai
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.5
41%
Strike Accuracy
50%
0.8
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
2 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
18
Head
14
3
Body
15
0
Leg
3
RangeRange
18Distance29
3Clinch3
0Ground0
Ivanov
Sakai
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
1.4
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.0
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Ivanov
Sakai
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
90
12
Never stopped
Verdict
4 consec. KOs
0
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
0
—
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
1 fight ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
8/25 fights
Chin rating based on
9/21 fights
Ivanov
Sakai
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
50
100
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R2
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R5
Ivanov
Sakai
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
40%
0
KO / TKO Wins
2
0
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
3

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Ivanov
Sakai
Striking0.8 / 5.1Volume8.8 / 5.9Grappling2.4 / 1.4Wrestling1.7 / 1.0Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure1.1 / 4.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.4
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
1.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
8.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.9
Ivanov
Strike Zones
Sakai
Ivanov
Attacking
18HEAD3BODY0LEGS21 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD15BODY3LEGS32 absorbed
Sakai
Attacking
14HEAD15BODY3LEGS32 landed
Absorbing
18HEAD3BODY0LEGS21 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Ivanov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Sakai absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Sakai targets the body (47% of attacks) — Ivanov absorbs 47% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Ivanov
RND
Sakai
0/0R00/0

Ivanov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.6
0105.5L4.5W4.9W6.7L5.7L5.1W5.9L6.3L2018-072019-062020-052023-022023-07
WinLossTrend

Sakai · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.3
0105.5W5.2W5.4W4.5W4.0L2.6L3.2L3.3L4.8W2018-092020-052021-122023-02
WinLossTrend

Ivanov · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Alexandr RomanovRating 6.3
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Magomedov · 2023-07
L · Dec · R3
Marcin TyburaRating 5.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Spivac · 2023-02
W · Dec · R3
Marcos Rogerio de LimaRating 5.1
Decision
UFC 274: Oliveira vs. Gaethje · 2022-05
L · Dec · R3
Augusto SakaiRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Woodley vs. Burns · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Derrick LewisRating 6.7
Decision
UFC 244: Masvidal vs. Diaz · 2019-11

Sakai · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Don'Tale MayesRating 4.8
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Muniz vs. Allen · 2023-02
L · KO · R2
Serghei SpivacRating 3.3
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill · 2022-08
L · KO · R2
Tai TuivasaRating 3.2
KO/TKO
UFC 269: Oliveira vs. Poirier · 2021-12
L · KO · R1
Jairzinho RozenstruikRating 2.6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Sakai · 2021-06
L · KO · R5
Alistair OvereemRating 4
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Overeem vs. Sakai · 2020-09

News & Media

Blagoy Ivanov · Augusto Sakai
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