UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad
Las Vegas, USA
13 Mar 2021
Lightweight
VS
49%
Haqparast
51%
Garcia
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Nasrat
Nasrat Haqparast
18 – 6
5'10"72" reachSouthpaw30 yrsWell-Rounded
CFR 48
Rafa
Rafa Garcia
"Gifted"
19 – 4
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak31 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"
CFR 51

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garcia

This is a genuine toss-up — Haqparast at 49% vs Garcia at 51% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Haqparast has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Haqparast's chin rating of 50 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Haqparast
Garcia
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'7"
72"+
Reach
70"
30+
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
Haqparast
Garcia
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
48.0
50.6
45.6
Performance Avg
44.7
32
Quality of Victory
32
72
Momentum Score
75
Haqparast
Garcia
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.7
1.5
48%
Strike Accuracy
47%
3.3
Striking Style Score (/10)
2.7
2 KOs
KO Finishes
1 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
24
Head
9
17
Body
3
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
42Distance11
0Clinch2
0Ground0
Haqparast
Garcia
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.9
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.9
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Haqparast
Garcia
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
50
72
KO risk
Verdict
Moderate
2
KO/TKO Losses
1
0
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.0 stoppage
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
15/24 fights
Chin rating based on
11/23 fights
Haqparast
Garcia
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
72
75
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R1
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
W · Dec · R3
W · KO · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R2
W · Dec · R3
Haqparast
Garcia
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
20%
29%
2
KO / TKO Wins
1
0
Submission Wins
1
8
Decision Wins
5

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Haqparast
Garcia
Striking3.3 / 2.7Volume7.7 / 7.0Grappling1.9 / 2.9Wrestling1.3 / 2.0Submission0.0 / 1.4Pressure3.4 / 3.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.3
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
2.7
1.9
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.9
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.0
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.4
3.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
3.9
7.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
7.0
Haqparast
Strike Zones
Garcia
Haqparast
Attacking
24HEAD17BODY1LEGS42 landed
Absorbing
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 absorbed
Garcia
Attacking
9HEAD3BODY1LEGS13 landed
Absorbing
24HEAD17BODY1LEGS42 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Haqparast targets the head (57% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Garcia targets the head (69% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Haqparast
RND
Garcia
0/0R00/0

Haqparast · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.9
0105.5L4.6W4.5W5.9W2.7L4.5W5.3W6.4L6.2L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.9W5.2W3.6L2017-102020-012022-022024-062025-10
WinLossTrend

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0106.2L5.5L4.5W5.2W6.5L4.8W5.0W4.2L4.7W5.9W5.4W2021-032022-042023-042025-092026-04
WinLossTrend

Haqparast · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Quillan SalkilldRating 3.6
KO/TKO
UFC 321: Aspinall vs. Gane · 2025-10
W · Dec · R3
Esteban RibovicsRating 5.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kape vs. Almabayev · 2025-03
W · Dec · R3
Jared GordonRating 4.9
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. Aliskerov · 2024-06
W · KO · R1
Jamie MullarkeyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Song vs. Gutierrez · 2023-12
W · Dec · R3
Landon QuinonesRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 293: Adesanya vs. Strickland · 2023-09

Garcia · Last 5

W · Dec · R3
Alexander HernandezRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sterling vs. Zalal · 2026-04
W · KO · R3
Jared GordonRating 5.9
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lopes vs. Silva · 2025-09
W · Dec · R3
Vinc PichelRating 4.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Moreno vs. Erceg · 2025-03
L · KO · R2
Grant DawsonRating 4.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Royval vs. Taira · 2024-10
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen · 2023-04

News & Media

Nasrat Haqparast · Rafa Garcia
← Back to fights