Nasrat Haqparast vs Rafa Garcia — UFC Fight Analysis & Result

METRICS GUIDE

Every stat on this page, explained

All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.

UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad

Las Vegas, USA

13 Mar 2021

Lightweight

46%

Haqparast

54%

Garcia

Win Probability

Decision

Round 3 · 5:00

Nasrat Haqparast

18 – 6

5'10"72" reachSouthpaw31 yrs2-fight slideWell-Rounded

CFR 44

Rafa Garcia

"Gifted"

19 – 4

Well-Rounded3-fight win streak32 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'7"

CFR 51

★ Official Result

Nasrat HaqparastwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00

def. Rafa Garcia · UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs. Muhammad

Fight Report

Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result

Prediction vs Result

We predicted

Garcia

→

Actual result

Haqparast wins

Decision · R3

Pre-fight analysis

This is a genuine toss-up — Haqparast at 46% vs Garcia at 54% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 7 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Risk flags

Haqparast's chin rating of 38 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

This Fight — Statistics

Actual stats from this bout

HaqparastGarcia

Sig. Strikes

0.0

Strikes / min (SLpM)

0.0

—

Strike Accuracy

—

Haqparast

Garcia

Physical Matchup

Height · Reach · Age · Stance

5'10"+

Height

5'7"

72"+

Reach

70"

31+

Age

Southpaw

Stance

Orthodox

Haqparast

Garcia

Composite Fighter Rating

Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability

43.5

50.6

43.9

Performance Avg

44.7

Quality of Victory

Momentum Score

Haqparast

Garcia

Striking

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

3.3

/ 10

2.7

/ 10

3.3

Style: Pressure

3.9

7.7

Style: Volume

7.0

2 KO wins

Finish Rate (strikes)

1 KO wins

Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Strike targetStrike target

Head

Body

Leg

RangeRange

42Distance11

0Clinch2

0Ground0

Haqparast

Garcia

Grappling

Career averages · see This Fight stats above

1.9

/ 10

2.9

/ 10

1.3

Wrestling Style (/10)

2.0

0.0

Submission Style (/10)

1.4

Submission wins

Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped

Haqparast

Garcia

Durability / Chin

Resilience against knockouts and stoppages

KO risk

Verdict

Moderate

KO/TKO Losses

Sub Losses

Avg R1.0 stoppage

KO round context

Avg R2.0 stoppage

1 fight ago

Last KO loss

4 fights ago

—

Strikes absorbed / min

—

16/24 fights

Chin rating based on

12/23 fights

Haqparast

Garcia

Form & Momentum

Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%

2-fight 📉 slide

Current form

3-fight 🔥 win streak

L · Sub · R3

L · KO · R1

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R1

Last 5

Upcoming

W · Dec · R3

W · KO · R3

W · Dec · R3

L · KO · R2

Haqparast

Garcia

Finish Rate

Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission

20%

29%

KO / TKO Wins

Submission Wins

Decision Wins

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Haqparast

Garcia

Fighter 1

Fighter 2

3.3

Striking

KO power & stand-up volume

2.7

1.9

Grappling

Ground control & clinch

2.9

1.3

Wrestling

Takedown threat & defence

2.0

0.0

Submission

Submission attack frequency

1.4

3.3

Pressure

Clinch/ground work rate

3.9

7.7

Volume

Decision-pace fighting

7.0

Haqparast

Strike Zones

Garcia

Haqparast

Attacking

42 landed

Absorbing

13 absorbed

Garcia

Attacking

13 landed

Absorbing

42 absorbed

Targeting Overlap

🎯Haqparast targets the head (57% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 57% of strikes there

🎯Garcia targets the head (69% of attacks) — Haqparast absorbs 69% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Haqparast

RND

Garcia

0/0R00/0

Haqparast · Last 5

L · Sub · R3

Chris Padilla

Submission

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Quillan Salkilld

KO/TKO

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Esteban Ribovics

Decision

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Jared Gordon

Decision

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Jamie Mullarkey

KO/TKO

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Garcia · Last 5

Upcoming

Rongzhu

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W · Dec · R3

Alexander Hernandez

Decision

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KO/TKO

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Vinc Pichel

Decision

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Grant Dawson

KO/TKO

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News & Media

Nasrat Haqparast · Rafa Garcia

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