UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia
Kallang, Singapore
17 Jun 2017
Welterweight
VS
21%
Saffiedine
79%
Anjos
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
TS
Tarec Saffiedine
"Sponge"
16 – 7
5'10"70" reachSwitch39 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 10
Rafael
Rafael Dos Anjos
32 – 17
Well-Rounded3-fight slide41 yrsSouthpaw70" reach5'8"
CFR 39

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Anjos

Anjos is a strong favourite at 79% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 29 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Anjos has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 16 points.

Striking split: Saffiedine throws more volume but Anjos connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Risk flags

Anjos has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Saffiedine
Anjos
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
70"
Reach
70"
39+
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
Saffiedine
Anjos
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
10.1
38.8
28.3
Performance Avg
47.7
25
Quality of Victory
41
25
Momentum Score
49
Saffiedine
Anjos
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
1.0
43%
Strike Accuracy
47%
0.7
Striking Style Score (/10)
3.1
0 KOs
KO Finishes
4 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
15
Head
15
4
Body
11
5
Leg
5
RangeRange
21Distance27
3Clinch4
0Ground0
Saffiedine
Anjos
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.4
/ 10
3.3
/ 10
1.7
Wrestling Style (/10)
2.3
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
2.4
0
Submission wins
5
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Saffiedine
Anjos
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
72
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
4
0
Sub Losses
1
Avg R3.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R2.5 stoppage
4 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/23 fights
Chin rating based on
36/49 fights
Saffiedine
Anjos
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
25
49
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R5
W · Sub · R2
L · KO · R5
Saffiedine
Anjos
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
0%
43%
0
KO / TKO Wins
4
0
Submission Wins
5
2
Decision Wins
12

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Saffiedine
Anjos
Striking0.7 / 3.1Volume8.7 / 5.7Grappling2.4 / 3.3Wrestling1.7 / 2.3Submission0.0 / 2.4Pressure1.0 / 4.8
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.7
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
3.1
2.4
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
3.3
1.7
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.3
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
2.4
1.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.8
8.7
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
5.7
Saffiedine
Strike Zones
Anjos
Saffiedine
Attacking
15HEAD4BODY5LEGS24 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD11BODY5LEGS31 absorbed
Anjos
Attacking
15HEAD11BODY5LEGS31 landed
Absorbing
15HEAD4BODY5LEGS24 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Saffiedine targets the head (63% of attacks) — Anjos absorbs 63% of strikes there
🎯Anjos targets the head (48% of attacks) — Saffiedine absorbs 48% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Saffiedine
RND
Anjos
0/0R00/0

Saffiedine · QOF Timeline

Avg: 4.8
0104.5W2.8L4.5W5.5L5.5L5.7L2014-012014-102016-012016-052016-122017-06
WinLossTrend

Anjos · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.1
0104.5L5.5L4.5W4.5W5.2W4.5L5.0W5.5L5.0W4.5W4.5W4.5W4.5W5.5L5.2W5.0W4.5W4.5W5.0W1.5L6.0L4.5W5.6W4.8W6.8L6.6L5.4W6.6L6.3L4.5W5.3W5.0L5.7W7.0L6.6L2.5L2008-112012-072015-122019-072024-10
WinLossTrend

Saffiedine · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Rafael Dos AnjosRating 5.7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Correia · 2017-06
L · Dec · R3
Dong Hyun KimRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 207: Nunes vs. Rousey · 2016-12
L · Dec · R3
Rick StoryRating 5.5
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Almeida vs Garbrandt · 2016-05
W · Dec · R3
Jake EllenbergerRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FOX: Johnson vs. Bader · 2016-01
L · KO · R3
Rory MacDonaldRating 2.8
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: MacDonald vs Saffiedine · 2014-10

Anjos · Last 5

L · KO · R1
Geoff NealRating 2.5
KO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Mateusz GamrotRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 299: O'Malley vs. Vera 2 · 2024-03
L · Dec · R5
Vicente LuqueRating 7
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Luque vs. Dos Anjos · 2023-08
W · Sub · R2
Bryan BarberenaRating 5.7
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · KO · R5
Rafael FizievRating 5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Dos Anjos vs. Fiziev · 2022-07

News & Media

Tarec Saffiedine · Rafael Dos Anjos
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