UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2
Las Vegas, USA
20 Aug 2016
Welterweight
VS
97%
Means
3%
Homasi
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 2 · 2:56
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Means
Means is a strong favourite at 97% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 36 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Means has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 41 points.
Striking split: Homasi throws more volume but Means connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.
Risk flags
Means's chin rating of 0 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Homasi has a chin rating of 34 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Means
Homasi
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'2"+
Height
6'0"
75"+
Reach
72"
42
Age
+37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Means
Homasi
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
36.5
1.0
45.2
Performance Avg
0.0
41
Quality of Victory
0
40
Momentum Score
0
Means
Homasi
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
2.1
4.2
51%
Strike Accuracy
49%
5.0
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
36
Head
5
7
Body
0
1
Leg
1
RangeRange
32Distance4
12Clinch2
0Ground0
Means
Homasi
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.2
Sub Attempts / fight
—
2.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
0.0
1.5
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.0
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Means
Homasi
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
0
34
KO risk
Verdict
3 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
3
6
Sub Losses
0
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
30/50 fights
Chin rating based on
3/19 fights
Means
Homasi
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
40
0
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
3-fight 📉 slide
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R2
Means
Homasi
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
53%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
2
Submission Wins
0
7
Decision Wins
0
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Means
Homasi
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.0
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.0
2.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
0.0
1.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.0
1.3
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.3
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.0
4.8
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
0.0
MeansHomasi
Strike Zones
Means
Attacking
44 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedHomasi
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
44 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Means targets the head (82% of attacks) — Homasi absorbs 82% of strikes there
🎯Homasi targets the head (83% of attacks) — Means absorbs 83% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Means
RND
Homasi
0/0R00/0
Means · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.5WinLossTrend
Homasi · QOF Timeline
Avg: 2.9WinLossTrend
Means · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
Court McGeeRating 1.7Submission
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicRating 3.3KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R3
Andre FialhoRating 5.5KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Gamrot · 2023-09
L · Sub · R2
Alex MoronoRating 2.8Submission
UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida · 2023-05
L · Dec · R3
Max GriffinRating 6.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs. Allen · 2022-10
Homasi · Last 3
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 220: Miocic vs. Ngannou · 2018-01
L · KO · R1
Abdul Razak AlhassanRating 3KO/TKO
UFC 218: Holloway vs. Aldo 2 · 2017-12
L · KO · R2
Tim MeansRating 2.8KO/TKO
UFC 202: Diaz vs. McGregor 2 · 2016-08