UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2012
Light Heavyweight
VS
28%
Kingsbury
72%
Teixeira
Win Probability
Submission
Round 1 · 1:53
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Teixeira
Teixeira is a strong favourite at 72% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Teixeira has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 17 points.
Teixeira has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Teixeira has a chin rating of 36 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Kingsbury
Teixeira
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'4"+
Height
6'2"
79"+
Reach
76"
44+
Age
46
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Kingsbury
Teixeira
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
16.5
42.8
38.0
Performance Avg
58.4
34
Quality of Victory
51
74
Momentum Score
59
Kingsbury
Teixeira
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.0
1.1
38%
Strike Accuracy
52%
3.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
4.5
1 KOs
KO Finishes
5 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
1
Head
14
2
Body
1
2
Leg
0
RangeRange
4Distance11
1Clinch0
0Ground4
Kingsbury
Teixeira
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
1.8
Grappling Style Score (/10)
4.0
1.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
2.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Kingsbury
Teixeira
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
80
36
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
—
KO round context
Avg R3.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
10 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/17 fights
Chin rating based on
23/42 fights
Kingsbury
Teixeira
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
74
59
4-fight 📉 slide
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · R2
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R5
L · Sub · R5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R3
W · KO · R5
Kingsbury
Teixeira
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
25%
75%
1
KO / TKO Wins
5
0
Submission Wins
7
3
Decision Wins
4
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Kingsbury
Teixeira
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
3.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
4.5
1.8
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
4.0
1.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
2.8
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
4.4
3.1
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.3
6.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
2.9
KingsburyTeixeira
Strike Zones
Kingsbury
Attacking
5 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedTeixeira
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
5 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Kingsbury targets the body (40% of attacks) — Teixeira absorbs 40% of strikes there
🎯Teixeira targets the head (93% of attacks) — Kingsbury absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Kingsbury
RND
Teixeira
0/0R00/0
Kingsbury · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.6WinLossTrend
Teixeira · QOF Timeline
Avg: 5.2WinLossTrend
Kingsbury · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Patrick CumminsRating 5.5Decision
UFC on FOX: Lawler vs Brown · 2014-07
L · R2
Jimi ManuwaRating 4.8UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic · 2012-09
L · Sub · R1
Glover TeixeiraRating 1.9Submission
UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir · 2012-05
L · Dec · R3
Stephan BonnarRating 5.5Decision
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson · 2011-11
W · Dec · R3
Fabio MaldonadoRating 4.5Decision
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesnar vs Team dos Santos Finale · 2011-06
Teixeira · Last 5
L · Dec · R5
Jamahal HillRating 6.8Decision
UFC 283: Teixeira vs. Hill · 2023-01
L · Sub · R5
Jiri ProchazkaRating 5.7Submission
UFC 275: Teixeira vs. Prochazka · 2022-06
W · Sub · R2
Jan BlachowiczRating 5.7Submission
UFC 267: Blachowicz vs. Teixeira · 2021-10
W · Sub · R3
Thiago SantosRating 5.2Submission
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Teixeira · 2020-11
W · KO · R5
Anthony SmithRating 6.7KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Smith vs. Teixeira · 2020-05