METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Las Vegas, USA
6 Aug 2022
Welterweight
VS
52%
Luque
48%
Neal
Win Probability
KO/TKO
Round 3 · 2:01
★ Official Result
Geoff NealwinsKO/TKOR3 · 2:01
def. Vicente Luque · UFC Fight Night: Santos vs. Hill
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Luque
→
Actual result
Neal wins
KO/TKO · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Luque at 52% vs Neal at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Risk flags
Luque's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Neal has a chin rating of 38 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
LuqueNeal
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Luque
Neal
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'11"
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
75"
34+
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Luque
Neal
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
59.9
55.8
56.1
Performance Avg
51.7
50
Quality of Victory
48
79
Momentum Score
72
Luque
Neal
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.4
/ 10
7.4
/ 10
7.7
Style: Pressure
7.0
2.3
Style: Volume
3.1
7 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
5 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
8
Head
29
3
Body
0
5
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance21
0Clinch8
0Ground0
Luque
Neal
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
3.6
/ 10
1.6
/ 10
2.5
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.1
4.1
Submission Style (/10)
1.3
7
Submission wins
1
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Luque
Neal
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
38
KO risk
Verdict
2 consec. KOs
2
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
5 fights ago
Last KO loss
Most recent fight
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
26/36 fights
Chin rating based on
14/24 fights
Luque
Neal
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
79
72
Current form
2-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
Last 5
L · KO · R1
L · KO · R1
W · KO · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R3
Luque
Neal
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
82%
75%
7
KO / TKO Wins
5
7
Submission Wins
1
3
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Luque
Neal
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
5.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
7.4
3.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.6
2.5
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.1
4.1
Submission
Submission attack frequency
1.3
7.7
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
7.0
2.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
3.1
LuqueNeal
Strike Zones
Luque
Attacking
16 landedAbsorbing
29 absorbedNeal
Attacking
29 landedAbsorbing
16 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Luque targets the head (50% of attacks) — Neal absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Neal targets the head (100% of attacks) — Luque absorbs 100% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Luque
RND
Neal
0/0R00/0
0/0R10/0
Luque · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Tresean GoreDecision
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W · Sub · R1
Kelvin GastelumSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
Joel AlvarezDecision
UFC Fight Night: Oliveira vs. Gamrot · 2025-10
L · Sub · R2
Kevin HollandSubmission
UFC 316: Dvalishvili vs. O'Malley 2 · 2025-06
W · Sub · R1
Themba GorimboSubmission
UFC 310: Pantoja vs. Asakura · 2024-12
Neal · Last 5
L · KO · R1
Uros MedicKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Strickland vs. Hernandez · 2026-02
L · KO · R1
Carlos PratesKO/TKO
UFC 319: Du Plessis vs. Chimaev · 2025-08
W · KO · R1
Rafael Dos AnjosKO/TKO
UFC 308: Topuria vs. Holloway · 2024-10
L · Dec · R3
Ian Machado GarryDecision
UFC 298: Volkanovski vs. Topuria · 2024-02
L · Sub · R3
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 285: Jones vs. Gane · 2023-03