UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
25 May 2013
Welterweight
VS
77%
Thompson
23%
Burrell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
Stephen
Stephen Thompson
"Wonderboy"
17 – 9
6'0"75" reachOrthodox43 yrs3-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 46
NB
Nah-Shon Burrell
"The Rock n Rolla"
15 – 7
Well-Rounded36 yrsOrthodox5'11"
CFR 14

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Thompson

Thompson is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Thompson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.

Burrell has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.

Thompson
Burrell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thompson
Burrell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
13.5
48.9
Performance Avg
35.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
46
Thompson
Burrell
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.7
2.3
47%
Strike Accuracy
59%
6.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.0
6 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
16
11
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance16
5Clinch7
0Ground0
Thompson
Burrell
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.5
1.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
0.8
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thompson
Burrell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Thompson
Burrell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Thompson
Burrell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Thompson
Burrell
Striking6.1 / 1.0Volume5.1 / 9.0Grappling1.2 / 2.4Wrestling0.8 / 1.7Submission0.0 / 0.0Pressure5.2 / 1.5
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
Thompson
Strike Zones
Burrell
Thompson
Attacking
16HEAD11BODY1LEGS28 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD7BODY0LEGS23 absorbed
Burrell
Attacking
16HEAD7BODY0LEGS23 landed
Absorbing
16HEAD11BODY1LEGS28 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Burrell absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Burrell targets the head (70% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 70% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Thompson
RND
Burrell
0/0R00/0

Thompson · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.0W5.9L4.5W5.2W5.9W4.5W5.0W5.0W4.5W5.5L4.5W5.5L2.1L6.0W5.5W5.7L6.6L6.0W4.8L5.2L7.2L2012-022015-072019-032023-122025-07
WinLossTrend

Burrell · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.5W6.1L2013-022013-05
WinLossTrend

Thompson · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimRating 7.2
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyRating 5.2
KO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandRating 6
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadRating 6.6
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12

Burrell · Last 2

L · Dec · R3
Stephen ThompsonRating 6.1
Decision
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · Dec · R3
Yuri VillefortRating 4.5
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02

News & Media

Stephen Thompson · Nah-Shon Burrell
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