METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
Las Vegas, USA
25 May 2013
Welterweight
VS
77%
Thompson
23%
Burrell
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Stephen ThompsonwinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Nah-Shon Burrell · UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Thompson
→
Actual result
Thompson wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
Thompson is a strong favourite at 77% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 33 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Thompson has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 18 points.
Risk flags
Thompson's chin rating of 32 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThompsonBurrell
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thompson
Burrell
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'0"+
Height
5'11"
75"
Reach
43
Age
+36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thompson
Burrell
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
46.3
13.5
48.9
Performance Avg
35.0
43
Quality of Victory
25
45
Momentum Score
46
Thompson
Burrell
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
6.1
/ 10
1.0
/ 10
5.2
Style: Pressure
1.5
5.1
Style: Volume
9.0
6 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
16
Head
16
11
Body
7
1
Leg
0
RangeRange
23Distance16
5Clinch7
0Ground0
Thompson
Burrell
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
0.8
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
0.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
0
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thompson
Burrell
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
32
98
KO risk
Verdict
Never stopped
2
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
0
Avg R2.5 stoppage
KO round context
—
1 fight ago
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
22/26 fights
Chin rating based on
2/22 fights
Thompson
Burrell
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
45
46
3-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · KO · R3
L · Sub · R2
W · KO · R4
L · Dec · R3
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
Thompson
Burrell
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
6
KO / TKO Wins
0
0
Submission Wins
0
6
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thompson
Burrell
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
6.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.0
1.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
0.8
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
0.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
5.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
1.5
5.1
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
9.0
ThompsonBurrell
Strike Zones
Thompson
Attacking
28 landedAbsorbing
23 absorbedBurrell
Attacking
23 landedAbsorbing
28 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thompson targets the head (57% of attacks) — Burrell absorbs 57% of strikes there
🎯Burrell targets the head (70% of attacks) — Thompson absorbs 70% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thompson
RND
Burrell
0/0R00/0
Thompson · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Gabriel BonfimDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Teixeira · 2025-07
L · KO · R3
Joaquin BuckleyKO/TKO
UFC 307: Pereira vs. Rountree Jr. · 2024-10
L · Sub · R2
Shavkat RakhmonovSubmission
UFC 296: Edwards vs. Covington · 2023-12
W · KO · R4
Kevin HollandKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Thompson vs. Holland · 2022-12
L · Dec · R3
Belal MuhammadDecision
UFC Fight Night: Lewis vs. Daukaus · 2021-12
Burrell · Last 2
L · Dec · R3
Stephen ThompsonDecision
UFC 160: Velasquez vs Silva 2 · 2013-05
W · Dec · R3
Yuri VillefortDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02