UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2007
Lightweight
VS
30%
Thomas
70%
Stephens
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:44
Combatrics Intelligence
Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics
Edge: Stephens
Stephens is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Stephens has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.
Risk flags
Thomas's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
Thomas
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
Reach
71"
49
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thomas
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
45.0
43.1
Performance Avg
41.1
35
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
76
Thomas
Stephens
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
0.8
1.3
39%
Strike Accuracy
42%
1.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
5.5
0 KOs
KO Finishes
7 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Thomas
Stephens
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
—
Sub Attempts / fight
0.1
4.6
Grappling Style Score (/10)
1.1
3.3
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
0.8
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Thomas
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Thomas
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Thomas
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
47%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thomas
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
ThomasStephens
Strike Zones
Thomas
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedStephens
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thomas targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (67% of attacks) — Thomas absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thomas
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
Thomas · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.3WinLossTrend
Stephens · QOF Timeline
Avg: 4.9WinLossTrend
Thomas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh NeerRating 5.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Lauzon · 2008-04
L · Sub · R1
Kenny FlorianRating 1.5Submission
UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy StephensRating 5.8Submission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaRating 5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Sub · R2
Rich ClementiRating 5.2Submission
The Ultimate Fighter: The Comeback Finale · 2006-11
Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenRating 2.2Submission
UFC 328: Chimaev vs. Strickland · 2026-05
L · Dec · R3
Mason JonesRating 6.5Decision
UFC Fight Night: Sandhagen vs. Figueiredo · 2025-05
L · Sub · R1
Mateusz GamrotRating 2.6Submission
UFC Fight Night: Makhachev vs. Moises · 2021-07
L · KO · R2
Calvin KattarRating 3.2KO/TKO
UFC 249: Ferguson vs. Gaethje · 2020-05
L · Dec · R3
Yair RodriguezRating 7.1Decision
UFC Fight Night: Reyes vs. Weidman · 2019-10