METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson
Las Vegas, USA
26 May 2007
Lightweight
VS
30%
Thomas
70%
Stephens
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 2:44
★ Official Result
Din ThomaswinsSubmissionR2 · 2:44
def. Jeremy Stephens · UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Stephens
→
Actual result
Thomas wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
Stephens is a strong favourite at 70% win probability per the CFR ratings. The data points decisively in one direction.
Key angles
The CFR gap of 26 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.
Risk flags
Thomas's chin rating of 62 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
Stephens has a chin rating of 0 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
ThomasStephens
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Thomas
Stephens
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'9"
Height
5'9"
Reach
71"
49
Age
+40
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Thomas
Stephens
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
19.2
45.0
43.1
Performance Avg
41.1
35
Quality of Victory
40
100
Momentum Score
76
Thomas
Stephens
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
1.1
/ 10
5.5
/ 10
4.5
Style: Pressure
4.5
5.9
Style: Volume
4.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
7 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
3
Head
4
1
Body
1
4
Leg
1
RangeRange
8Distance5
0Clinch0
0Ground1
Thomas
Stephens
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
4.6
/ 10
1.1
/ 10
3.3
Wrestling Style (/10)
0.8
4.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
2
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Thomas
Stephens
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
62
0
Moderate
Verdict
KO risk
1
KO/TKO Losses
3
1
Sub Losses
4
Avg R1.0 stoppage
KO round context
Avg R1.3 stoppage
8 fights ago
Last KO loss
3 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/35 fights
Chin rating based on
36/52 fights
Thomas
Stephens
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
76
2-fight 📉 slide
Current form
7-fight 📉 slide
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · Dec · R3
W · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Sub · R1
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R2
L · Dec · R3
Thomas
Stephens
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
40%
47%
0
KO / TKO Wins
7
2
Submission Wins
0
3
Decision Wins
8
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Thomas
Stephens
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
1.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
5.5
4.6
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
1.1
3.3
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
0.8
4.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.5
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
4.5
5.9
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.6
ThomasStephens
Strike Zones
Thomas
Attacking
8 landedAbsorbing
6 absorbedStephens
Attacking
6 landedAbsorbing
8 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Thomas targets the legs (50% of attacks) — Stephens absorbs 50% of strikes there
🎯Stephens targets the head (67% of attacks) — Thomas absorbs 67% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Thomas
RND
Stephens
0/0R00/0
Thomas · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Josh NeerDecision
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L · Sub · R1
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UFC Fight Night: Thomas vs Florian · 2007-09
W · Sub · R2
Jeremy StephensSubmission
UFC 71: Liddell vs Jackson · 2007-05
W · Dec · R3
Clay GuidaDecision
UFC Fight Night: Evans vs Salmon · 2007-01
W · Sub · R2
Rich ClementiSubmission
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Stephens · Last 5
L · Sub · R1
King GreenSubmission
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L · Dec · R3
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