UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
Sunrise, USA
8 Jun 2012
Featherweight
VS
56%
Garcia
44%
Grice
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
LG
Leonard Garcia
"Bad Boy"
18 – 13
5'10"68" reachOrthodox46 yrs5-fight slideWell-Rounded
CFR 14
MG
Matt Grice
"The Real One"
15 – 5
Well-Rounded44 yrsOrthodox70" reach5'8"
CFR 11

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Garcia

This is a genuine toss-up — Garcia at 56% vs Grice at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.

Grice has the striking edge in both volume and accuracy.

Risk flags

Grice has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.

Garcia
Grice
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
46
Age
+44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Grice
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
10.6
32.6
Performance Avg
26.4
40
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
55
Garcia
Grice
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
1.1
2.3
21%
Strike Accuracy
52%
0.4
Striking Style Score (/10)
0.6
0 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
14
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch1
0Ground10
Garcia
Grice
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
—
—
0.4
Sub Attempts / fight
—
5.2
Grappling Style Score (/10)
2.4
3.6
Wrestling Style Score (/10)
1.7
0:00
Control Time (this fight)
0:00
0
Reversals
0
Garcia
Grice
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
30
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Garcia
Grice
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
55
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Garcia
Grice
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Garcia
Grice
Striking0.4 / 0.6Volume4.4 / 8.6Grappling5.2 / 2.4Wrestling3.6 / 1.7Submission5.0 / 0.0Pressure4.2 / 0.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
Garcia
Strike Zones
Grice
Garcia
Attacking
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 landed
Absorbing
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 absorbed
Grice
Attacking
14HEAD1BODY0LEGS15 landed
Absorbing
0HEAD1BODY0LEGS1 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the body (100% of attacks) — Grice absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Grice targets the head (93% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 93% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Garcia
RND
Grice
0/0R00/0

Garcia · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0105.5L5.0W5.5L4.5W3.2L5.5L5.5L6.6L5.5L2007-042010-122012-062013-04
WinLossTrend

Grice · QOF Timeline

Avg: 2.9
0101.5L4.5W1.5L1.5L1.5L4.5W5.5L2007-042009-022011-062013-02
WinLossTrend

Garcia · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayRating 6.6
Decision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Matt GriceRating 5.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Nam PhanRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Chan Sung JungRating 3.2
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03

Grice · Last 5

L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezRating 5.5
Decision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaRating 4.5
Decision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Sub · R1
Shannon GugertyRating 1.5
Submission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R1
Matt VeachRating 1.5
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02

News & Media

Leonard Garcia · Matt Grice
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