METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
Sunrise, USA
8 Jun 2012
Featherweight
VS
56%
Garcia
44%
Grice
Win Probability
Decision
Round 3 · 5:00
★ Official Result
Matt GricewinsDecisionR3 · 5:00
def. Leonard Garcia · UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Garcia
→
Actual result
Grice wins
Decision · R3
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Garcia at 56% vs Grice at 44% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Garcia has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 15 points.
Risk flags
Grice has a chin rating of 30 — a potential KO vulnerability.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GarciaGrice
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Garcia
Grice
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
5'10"+
Height
5'8"
68"
Reach
+70"
47
Age
+45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
Garcia
Grice
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
13.7
10.6
32.6
Performance Avg
26.4
40
Quality of Victory
25
39
Momentum Score
55
Garcia
Grice
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
0.4
/ 10
0.6
/ 10
4.2
Style: Pressure
0.9
4.4
Style: Volume
8.6
0 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
0
Head
14
1
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
1Distance4
0Clinch1
0Ground10
Garcia
Grice
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
5.2
/ 10
2.4
/ 10
3.6
Wrestling Style (/10)
1.7
5.0
Submission Style (/10)
0.0
1
Submission wins
0
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Garcia
Grice
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
76
30
Never stopped
Verdict
KO risk
0
KO/TKO Losses
2
1
Sub Losses
2
—
KO round context
Avg R1.0 stoppage
—
Last KO loss
2 fights ago
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
9/31 fights
Chin rating based on
7/20 fights
Garcia
Grice
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
39
55
5-fight 📉 slide
Current form
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Last 5
L · Dec · R3
W · Dec · R3
L · KO · R1
L · Sub · R1
L · KO · R1
Garcia
Grice
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
50%
0%
0
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
0
1
Decision Wins
2
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Garcia
Grice
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
0.4
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
0.6
5.2
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
2.4
3.6
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
1.7
5.0
Submission
Submission attack frequency
0.0
4.2
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
0.9
4.4
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
8.6
GarciaGrice
Strike Zones
Garcia
Attacking
1 landedAbsorbing
15 absorbedGrice
Attacking
15 landedAbsorbing
1 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Garcia targets the body (100% of attacks) — Grice absorbs 100% of strikes there
🎯Grice targets the head (93% of attacks) — Garcia absorbs 93% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Garcia
RND
Grice
0/0R00/0
Garcia · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Cody McKenzieDecision
UFC 159: Jones vs Sonnen · 2013-04
L · Dec · R3
Max HollowayDecision
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II · 2012-12
L · Dec · R3
Matt GriceDecision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · Dec · R3
Nam PhanDecision
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3 · 2011-10
L · Sub · R2
Chan Sung JungSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Davis · 2011-03
Grice · Last 5
L · Dec · R3
Dennis BermudezDecision
UFC 157: Rousey vs Carmouche · 2013-02
W · Dec · R3
Leonard GarciaDecision
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall · 2012-06
L · KO · R1
Ricardo LamasKO/TKO
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry · 2011-06
L · Sub · R1
Shannon GugertySubmission
UFC 100 · 2009-07
L · KO · R1
Matt VeachKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Lauzon vs Stephens · 2009-02