METRICS GUIDE
Every stat on this page, explained
All stats are calculated from official fight data. Style scores are Combatrics proprietary ratings updated after every event.
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
52%
Guskov
48%
Elekana
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:33
★ Official Result
Bogdan GuskovwinsSubmissionR2 · 3:33
def. Billy Elekana · UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Fight Report
Pre-fight analysis · prediction vs result
Prediction vs Result
We predicted
Guskov
→
Actual result
Guskov wins
Submission · R2
Pre-fight analysis
This is a genuine toss-up — Guskov at 52% vs Elekana at 48% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.
Key angles
Guskov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.
Risk flags
Guskov's chin rating of 66 flags durability concerns based on KO history.
This Fight — Statistics
Actual stats from this bout
GuskovElekana
0
Sig. Strikes
0
0.0
Strikes / min (SLpM)
0.0
—
Strike Accuracy
—
Guskov
Elekana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+77"
33
Age
+31
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guskov
Elekana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
71.1
66.3
60.3
Performance Avg
55.7
56
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
98
Guskov
Elekana
Striking
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
8.8
/ 10
1.5
/ 10
9.0
Style: Pressure
6.9
1.3
Style: Volume
4.2
3 KO wins
Finish Rate (strikes)
0 KO wins
Per-minute strike stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
11
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance12
11Clinch0
8Ground0
Guskov
Elekana
Grappling
Career averages · see This Fight stats above
2.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guskov
Elekana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
66
88
Moderate
Verdict
Never stopped
1
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
Avg R5.0 stoppage
KO round context
—
Most recent fight
Last KO loss
—
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
7/21 fights
Chin rating based on
4/12 fights
Guskov
Elekana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
L · KO · R5
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
Last 5
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Guskov
Elekana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1
Style Fingerprint
Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10
Guskov
Elekana
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
8.8
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
9.0
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
1.3
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
GuskovElekana
Strike Zones
Guskov
Attacking
35 landedAbsorbing
12 absorbedElekana
Attacking
12 landedAbsorbing
35 absorbedTargeting Overlap
🎯Guskov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Elekana absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Elekana targets the head (92% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 92% of strikes there
Round by Round
This fight · per-round breakdown
Guskov
RND
Elekana
0/0R00/0
Guskov · Last 5
L · KO · R5
Magomed AnkalaevKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Ankalaev vs. Guskov · 2026-07
Upcoming
Jan BlachowiczDecision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Ryan SpannKO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
Elekana · Last 4
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaSubmission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Sub · R1
Kevin ChristianSubmission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ibo AslanDecision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GuskovSubmission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01