UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano
Inglewood, USA
18 Jan 2025
Light Heavyweight
VS
53%
Guskov
47%
Elekana
Win Probability
Submission
Round 2 · 3:33
Bogdan
Bogdan Guskov
"Hitman"
18 – 3
6'3"76" reachOrthodox33 yrs4-fight win streakKnockout Artist
CFR 76
Billy
Billy Elekana
"Son of Susie"
10 – 2
Well-Rounded3-fight win streak30 yrsSouthpaw77" reach6'3"
CFR 66

Combatrics Intelligence

Data-driven breakdown · fighter metrics

Edge: Guskov

This is a genuine toss-up — Guskov at 53% vs Elekana at 47% (CFR ratings). One of the hardest fights to call on the card.

Key angles

The CFR gap of 10 points suggests a clear performance difference on paper.

Guskov has beaten significantly higher-quality opposition — a QoV edge of 13 points.

Striking split: Guskov throws more volume but Elekana connects at a higher rate — quality vs quantity.

Guskov
Elekana
Physical Matchup
Height · Reach · Age · Stance
6'3"
Height
6'3"
76"
Reach
+77"
33
Age
+30
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
Guskov
Elekana
Composite Fighter Rating
Overall score combining performance, win quality, momentum & durability
75.8
66.3
65.7
Performance Avg
55.7
56
Quality of Victory
43
100
Momentum Score
98
Guskov
Elekana
Striking
Significant strikes per minute & accuracy
3.5
1.2
56%
Strike Accuracy
59%
9.1
Striking Style Score (/10)
1.5
3 KOs
KO Finishes
0 KOs
Strike targetStrike target
30
Head
11
5
Body
1
0
Leg
0
RangeRange
16Distance12
11Clinch0
8Ground0
Guskov
Elekana
Grappling
Takedowns, submissions & wrestling
2.0
/ 10
6.1
/ 10
1.4
Wrestling Style (/10)
4.3
2.5
Submission Style (/10)
6.7
1
Submission wins
2
Per-fight takedown stats will populate after live card results are scraped
Guskov
Elekana
Durability / Chin
Resilience against knockouts and stoppages
88
88
Never stopped
Verdict
Never stopped
0
KO/TKO Losses
0
1
Sub Losses
1
—
Strikes absorbed / min
—
6/21 fights
Chin rating based on
5/12 fights
Guskov
Elekana
Form & Momentum
Recent fight performance — most recent weighted 30%
100
98
4-fight 🔥 win streak
Current form
3-fight 🔥 win streak
Upcoming
W · KO · R1
W · Sub · R2
W · KO · R2
W · KO · R1
Last 5
Upcoming
W · Sub · R2
W · Sub · R1
W · Dec · R3
L · Sub · R2
Guskov
Elekana
Finish Rate
Percentage of wins by KO/TKO or Submission
100%
67%
3
KO / TKO Wins
0
1
Submission Wins
2
0
Decision Wins
1

Style Fingerprint

Combatrics radar — 6 fighting dimensions scored 0–10

Guskov
Elekana
Striking9.1 / 1.5Volume1.6 / 4.2Grappling2.0 / 6.1Wrestling1.4 / 4.3Submission2.5 / 6.7Pressure9.4 / 6.9
Fighter 1
Fighter 2
9.1
Striking
KO power & stand-up volume
1.5
2.0
Grappling
Ground control & clinch
6.1
1.4
Wrestling
Takedown threat & defence
4.3
2.5
Submission
Submission attack frequency
6.7
9.4
Pressure
Clinch/ground work rate
6.9
1.6
Volume
Decision-pace fighting
4.2
Guskov
Strike Zones
Elekana
Guskov
Attacking
30HEAD5BODY0LEGS35 landed
Absorbing
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 absorbed
Elekana
Attacking
11HEAD1BODY0LEGS12 landed
Absorbing
30HEAD5BODY0LEGS35 absorbed
Targeting Overlap
🎯Guskov targets the head (86% of attacks) — Elekana absorbs 86% of strikes there
🎯Elekana targets the head (92% of attacks) — Guskov absorbs 92% of strikes there

Round by Round

This fight · per-round breakdown

Guskov
RND
Elekana
0/0R00/0

Guskov · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.2
0102.3L5.0W5.7W6.8W6.2W2023-092024-022024-042025-012025-07
WinLossTrend

Elekana · QOF Timeline

Avg: 5.3
0104.8L5.4W5.0W6.1W2025-012025-072025-112026-01
WinLossTrend

Guskov · Last 5

Upcoming
Jan Blachowicz
Decision
UFC 323: Dvalishvili vs. Yan 2 · 2025-12
W · KO · R1
Nikita KrylovRating 6.2
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
W · Sub · R2
Billy ElekanaRating 6.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01
W · KO · R2
Ryan SpannRating 5.7
KO/TKO
UFC Fight Night: Nicolau vs. Perez · 2024-04
W · KO · R1
Zac PaugaRating 5
KO/TKO
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Elekana · Last 5

Upcoming
Iwo Baraniewski
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Bonfim · 2026-06
W · Sub · R2
Junior TafaRating 6.1
Submission
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes 2 · 2026-01
W · Sub · R1
Kevin ChristianRating 5
Submission
UFC Fight Night: Garcia vs. Onama · 2025-11
W · Dec · R3
Ibo AslanRating 5.4
Decision
UFC Fight Night: Whittaker vs. De Ridder · 2025-07
L · Sub · R2
Bogdan GuskovRating 4.8
Submission
UFC 311: Makhachev vs. Moicano · 2025-01

News & Media

Bogdan Guskov · Billy Elekana
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